IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-17-00655.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The dynamic effects of aggregate supply and demand shocks in the Mexican economy

Author

Listed:
  • Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz

    (Department of Economics, University of Utah)

Abstract

This paper studies if the supply shock derived from the Blanchard-Quah methodology contains a demand driven component in the Mexican economy during the period 1981Q1-2016Q2. We find that supply shocks are not contemporaneously correlated with demand shocks, so that 1) the anomaly in the inflation dynamics to a supply shock is not present if the standard Blanchard-Quah restrictions are employed; and 2) supply (demand) shocks represent the primary source of the long-run variation in output (inflation). The results show that it is possible to identify uncorrelated supply and demand shocks for the Mexican economy using the standard restrictions imposed by the Blanchard-Quah approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2018. "The dynamic effects of aggregate supply and demand shocks in the Mexican economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(1), pages 41-51.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-17-00655
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2018/Volume38/EB-18-V38-I1-P5.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bashar, Omar H.M.N., 2011. "On the permanent effect of an aggregate demand shock: Evidence from the G-7 countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1374-1382, May.
    2. Carolina Pagliacci, 2019. "Are we ignoring supply shocks? A proposal for monitoring cyclical fluctuations," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 445-467, February.
    3. Cover, James Peery & Enders, Walter & Hueng, C. James, 2006. "Using the Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply Model to Identify Structural Demand-Side and Supply-Side Shocks: Results Using a Bivariate VAR," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(3), pages 777-790, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Johannes W. Fedderke, 2022. "Identifying supply and demand shocks in the South African Economy, 1960–2020," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 349-389, September.
    2. Andrea Vaona, 2015. "Anomalous empirical evidence on money long-run super-neutrality and the vertical long-run Phillips curve," Working Papers 17/2015, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    3. Binet, Marie-Estelle & Pentecôte, Jean-Sébastien, 2015. "Macroeconomic idiosyncrasies and European monetary unification: A sceptical long run view," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 412-423.
    4. Andrea Vaona, 2016. "The Classical Dichotomy fails in the Eurozone," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 2183-2191.
    5. Bashar, Omar H.M.N., 2012. "The dynamics of aggregate demand and supply shocks in ASEAN countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 507-518.
    6. repec:rim:rimwps:34-07 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Holtemöller, Oliver & Mallick, Sushanta, 2016. "Global food prices and monetary policy in an emerging market economy: The case of India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 56-70.
    8. Hyeon-seung Huh & Yeana Lee, 2012. "A note on the equivalence of the Blanchard and Quah (1989) and Sims (1980) identification procedures," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2646-2652.
    9. Pagliacci, Carolina, 2021. "The supply and demand-side impacts of uncertainty shocks. Evidence on advanced and emerging economies," MPRA Paper 108739, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Zongsen Zou & Xiuling Wang & Dengtian Feng, 2020. "Adhere to the rules or be discretionary? Empirical evidence from the euro area," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(2), pages 501-525, April.
    11. Grégory Levieuge & Yannick Lucotte, 2014. "A Simple Empirical Measure of Central Banks' Conservatism," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 81(2), pages 409-434, October.
    12. Adesoji O. Farayibi & Simplice A. Asongu, 2020. "The Economic Consequences of the Covid-19 Pandemic in Nigeria," Working Papers 20/042, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    13. Melolinna, Marko & Tóth, Máté, 2019. "Trend and cycle shocks in Bayesian unobserved components models for UK productivity," Bank of England working papers 826, Bank of England.
    14. Kwo Ping Tam, 2016. "A New Comparative Study On The Free-Floating And Currency Board Regimes In Hong Kong," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(3), pages 218-238, April.
    15. M. Huchet & Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte, 2008. "Growing too fast? Shock asymmetries and the Euro area enlargement," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 51(1), pages 33-56.
    16. Calvert Jump, Robert & Kohler, Karsten, 2022. "A history of aggregate demand and supply shocks for the United Kingdom, 1900 to 2016," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    17. Pierre L. Siklos & Yang Zhang, 2010. "Identifying The Shocks Driving Inflation In China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(2), pages 204-223, May.
    18. John W. Keating, 2013. "Interpreting Permanent Shocks to Output When Aggregate Demand May Not Be Neutral in the Long Run," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(4), pages 747-756, June.
    19. Bashar, Omar H M N, 2009. "The Nature of Aggregate Demand and Supply Shocks in ASEAN Countries," MPRA Paper 19881, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2019. "The effects of China’s growth slowdown on its provinces: Disentangling the sources," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(4), pages 1260-1279, December.
    21. Luis Eduardo Arango & Ximena Chavarro & Eliana González, 2014. "Commodity price shocks and inflation within an optimal monetary policy framework: the case of Colombia," Borradores de Economia 858, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural VAR; supply shocks; demand shocks; Blanchard-Quah decomposition; Mexican economy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-17-00655. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.