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A nonparametric adjustment for tests of changing mean

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  • Ted Juhl

    ()
    (University of Kansas)

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    Abstract

    When testing for a change in mean of a time series, the null hypothesis is no change in mean. However, a change in mean causes a bias in the estimation of serial correlation parameters. This bias can cause nonmonotonic power to the point that if the change is big enough, power can go to zero. In this paper, we show that a nonparametric correction can restore power. The procedure is illustrated with a small Monte Carlo experiment.

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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2004/Volume3/EB-04C20029A.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

    Volume (Year): 3 (2004)
    Issue (Month): 34 ()
    Pages: 1-11

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    Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-04c20029

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    1. Donald W.K. Andrews & Werner Ploberger, 1992. "Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only Under the Alternative," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 1015, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    2. Vogelsang, Timothy J., 1997. "Wald-Type Tests for Detecting Breaks in the Trend Function of a Dynamic Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(06), pages 818-848, December.
    3. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November.
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