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Which Inflation To Target? A Small Open Economy With Sticky Wages

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  • Campolmi, Alessia

Abstract

There is common agreement on price inflation stabilization being one of the objectives of monetary policy. But, in an open economy, two alternative measures of inflation coexist: domestic inflation and consumer price inflation. Which of the two should be the target variable? Most of the new open economy macroeconomics (NOEM) literature suggests that the monetary authority should stabilize domestic inflation. This is in sharp contrast with the practice of many inflation-targeting central banks that are using consumer price index (CPI) inflation as target variable. The paper shows that the standard result in the NOEM literature is derived under the simplifying assumption of flexible wages. The inclusion of sticky wages in an otherwise standard small open economy model is shown to rationalize CPI inflation targeting. This conclusion is robust to changes in key parameters, including the trade elasticity.

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  • Campolmi, Alessia, 2014. "Which Inflation To Target? A Small Open Economy With Sticky Wages," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 145-174, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:18:y:2014:i:01:p:145-174_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Juan Manuel Julio & Javier Guillermo Gómez & Manuel Dario Hernández, 2017. "La Inflación de los Precios Rígidos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1007, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Daisuke Ida & Mitsuhiro Okano, 2023. "International heterogeneity of nominal wages and optimal monetary policy," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 112-138, August.
    3. José de Gregorio, 2012. "Commodity Prices, Monetary Policy and Inflation," Working Papers wp359, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
    4. Araújo, Eurilton, 2016. "Determinacy and learnability of equilibrium in a small-open economy with sticky wages and prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 16-32.
    5. Jordi Galí & Tommaso Monacelli, 2016. "Understanding the Gains from Wage Flexibility: The Exchange Rate Connection," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(12), pages 3829-3868, December.
    6. Caputo, Rodrigo & Herrera, Luis Oscar, 2017. "Following the leader? The relevance of the Fed funds rate for inflation targeting countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 25-52.
    7. Eijffinger, Sylvester C. W. & Grajales-Olarte, Anderson & Uras, Burak R., 2020. "Heterogeneity In Wage Setting Behavior In A New-Keynesian Model," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1512-1546, September.
    8. Lipińska, Anna & von Thadden, Leopold, 2019. "On The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Devaluations In A Monetary Union," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(8), pages 3424-3456, December.
    9. Boukraine, Wissem & Guerchi Mehri, Hella, 2022. "Should Tunisian Optimal Monetary Policy React to Wage Inflation? Evidence From A DSGE Model with Labor Market Frictions," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 75(1), pages 29-50.
    10. Drago Bergholt, 2014. "Monetary Policy in Oil Exporting Economies," Working Papers No 5/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    11. Flamini, Alessandro & Milas, Costas, 2015. "Distribution forecast targeting in an open-economy, macroeconomic volatility and financial implications," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 89-105.
    12. Rhee, Hyuk Jae & Song, Jeongseok, 2020. "Wage rigidities and unemployment fluctuations in a small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 244-262.
    13. Yu-chin Chen & Pisut Kulthanavit, 2016. "Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge in a Small Open Economy," PIER Discussion Papers 28, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    14. Rhee, Hyuk-Jae & Song, Jeongseok, 2018. "Exchange Rate Pass-through, Nominal Wage Rigidities, and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, vol. 22(3), pages 337-370, September.
    15. Ida, Daisuke, 2023. "Liquidity-constrained consumers and optimal monetary policy in a currency union," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    16. Hyuk Jae Rhee & Jeongseok Song, 2017. "Real Wage Flexibility, Economic Fluctuations, and Exchange Rate Regimes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 633-659, September.
    17. Ida, Daisuke & Okano, Mitsuhiro, 2023. "Does nominal wage stickiness affect fiscal multiplier in a two-agent new Keynesian model?," MPRA Paper 117241, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Crucini, Mario J. & Shintani, Mototsugu & Tsuruga, Takayuki, 2014. "Real exchange rate dynamics in sticky wage models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 160-163.
    19. Alessandro Flamini & Costas Milas, 2014. "Open-economy Distribution Forecast Targeting, Macroeconomic Volatility and Financial Implication," DEM Working Papers Series 080, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    20. Jia, Pengfei, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy with Non-tradable Goods," MPRA Paper 110805, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Eurilton Araújo, 2018. "Neo-Fisherianism in a Small Open-Economy New Keynesian Model," Working Papers Series 481, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    22. Zixi Liu, 2015. "Do debt and growth dance together? A DSGE model of a small open economy with sovereign debt," Working Papers 2015.05, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    23. Ortiz, Marco & Inca, Arthur & Solf, Fabrizio, 2024. "Welfare implications of nomimal GDP targeting in a small open economy," MPRA Paper 119999, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Yu-chin Chen & Pisut Kulthanavit, 2016. "Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge in a Small Open Economy," PIER Discussion Papers 28., Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research, revised May 2016.

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