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Partisan Orientations over the Long Haul: Results from the Three-Wave Political Socialization Panel Study

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  • Jennings, M. Kent
  • Markus, Gregory B.

Abstract

The present study examines the dynamics of partisanship and voting behavior by utilizing national survey panel data gathered in 1965, 1973, and 1982 from two strategically situated generations—members of the high school senior class of 1965 and their parents. At the aggregate level, generational effects appeared in the persistently weaker partisan attachments of the younger generation. At the individual level, strong effects based on experience and habituation appeared in the remarkable gains occurring in the stability of partisan and other orientations among the young as they aged from their mid-20s to their mid-30s. Dynamic modeling of the relationship between partisanship and voting choice demonstrated that the younger voters had stabilized at an overall weaker level of partisanship, leading to more volatile voting behavior which, in turn, failed to provide the consistent reinforcement needed to intensify preexisting partisan leanings.

Suggested Citation

  • Jennings, M. Kent & Markus, Gregory B., 1984. "Partisan Orientations over the Long Haul: Results from the Three-Wave Political Socialization Panel Study," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 78(4), pages 1000-1018, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:78:y:1984:i:04:p:1000-1018_25
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    1. Polipciuc, Maria & Cörvers, Frank & Montizaan, Raymond, 2023. "Peers’ race in adolescence and voting behavior," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    2. Patrick Meyer & Fenja M Schophaus & Thomas Glassen & Jasmin Riedl & Julia M Rohrer & Gert G Wagner & Timo von Oertzen, 2019. "Using the Dirichlet process to form clusters of people’s concerns in the context of future party identification," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(3), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Kroh, Martin, 2014. "Growth trajectories in the strength of party identification: The legacy of autocratic regimes," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 33, pages 90-101.
    4. Jennings, M. Kent & Stoker, Laura, 1999. "The Persistence of the Past: The Class of 1965 Turns Fifty," Institute for Social Science Research, Working Paper Series qt0pk6z5s4, Institute for Social Science Research, UCLA.
    5. Silvia Russo & Håkan Stattin, 2017. "Stability and Change in Youths’ Political Interest," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 132(2), pages 643-658, June.
    6. Akbulut-Yuksel, Mevlude & Okoye, Dozie & Yuksel, Mutlu, 2017. "Learning to Participate in Politics: Evidence from Jewish Expulsions in Nazi Germany," IZA Discussion Papers 10778, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    7. Rafael Di Tella & Robert MacCulloch, 2009. "Why Doesn't Capitalism Flow to Poor Countries?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 40(1 (Spring), pages 285-332.
    8. Joseph McMurray, 2017. "Ideology as Opinion: A Spatial Model of Common-Value Elections," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 108-140, November.
    9. Kroh, Martin & Selb, Peter, 2009. "Inheritance and the Dynamics of Party Identification," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 31(4), pages 559-574.
    10. Matthew S. Dabros & Suzanne L. Parker & Mark W. Petersen, 2015. "Assessing the Stability of Trust in Government Across Election Periods," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 96(4), pages 996-1011, December.
    11. Zuzana Ringlerova, 2022. "The Impact of Immigration on Attitudes toward the EU: Evidence from a Three‐Country Survey Experiment," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 391-407, March.
    12. Alexander Kroll & Dominik Vogel, 2013. "Prosocial Attitudes in the Public and Private Sector: Exploring Behavioral Effects and Variation across Time," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 578, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    13. Henry E. Brady & Kay Lehman Schlozman & Sidney Verba, 2015. "Political Mobility and Political Reproduction from Generation to Generation," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 657(1), pages 149-173, January.

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