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Capturing non-exchangeable dependence in multivariate loss processes with nested Archimedean Lévy copulas

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  • Avanzi, Benjamin
  • Tao, Jamie
  • Wong, Bernard
  • Yang, Xinda

Abstract

The class of spectrally positive Lévy processes is a frequent choice for modelling loss processes in areas such as insurance or operational risk. Dependence between such processes (e.g. between different lines of business) can be modelled with Lévy copulas. This approach is a parsimonious, efficient and flexible method which provides many of the advantages akin to distributional copulas for random variables. Literature on Lévy copulas seems to have primarily focussed on bivariate processes. When multivariate settings are considered, these usually exhibit an exchangeable dependence structure (whereby all subset of the processes have an identical marginal Lévy copula). In reality, losses are not always associated in an identical way, and models allowing for non-exchangeable dependence patterns are needed. In this paper, we present an approach which enables the development of such models. Inspired by ideas and techniques from the distributional copula literature we investigate the procedure of nesting Archimedean Lévy copulas. We provide a detailed analysis of this construction, and derive conditions under which valid multivariate (nested) Lévy copulas are obtained. Our results are discussed and illustrated, notably with an example of model fitting to data.

Suggested Citation

  • Avanzi, Benjamin & Tao, Jamie & Wong, Bernard & Yang, Xinda, 2016. "Capturing non-exchangeable dependence in multivariate loss processes with nested Archimedean Lévy copulas," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(1), pages 87-117, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:anacsi:v:10:y:2016:i:01:p:87-117_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Nicole Bauerle & Gregor Leimcke, 2021. "Bayesian optimal investment and reinsurance with dependent financial and insurance risks," Papers 2103.05777, arXiv.org.
    2. Avanzi, Benjamin & Taylor, Greg & Wong, Bernard & Yang, Xinda, 2021. "On the modelling of multivariate counts with Cox processes and dependent shot noise intensities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 9-24.
    3. Zheng Wei & Seongyong Kim & Boseung Choi & Daeyoung Kim, 2019. "Multivariate Skew Normal Copula for Asymmetric Dependence: Estimation and Application," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 365-387, January.
    4. Benjamin Avanzi & Gregory Clive Taylor & Bernard Wong & Xinda Yang, 2020. "On the modelling of multivariate counts with Cox processes and dependent shot noise intensities," Papers 2004.11169, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    5. Xu, Chi & Zheng, Chunling & Wang, Donghua & Ji, Jingru & Wang, Nuan, 2019. "Double correlation model for operational risk: Evidence from Chinese commercial banks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 327-339.

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