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Evaluación de la Hipótesis de Kuznets para Colombia con una aproximación de series de tiempo: 1977-2005

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  • Julio César Alonso Cifuentes
  • Ángela María González Terán,

Abstract

La desigualdad en un país puede tener graves consecuencias en el desarrollo económico, especialmente en lo que respecta a la política social, siendo de alta relevancia el estudio de las causas de sus variaciones. En ese sentido, este documento pretende explicar cómo se ve afectada la desigualdad ante cambios en el crecimiento económico, la población y la tasa de cambio nominal. Siguiendo la hipótesis de la curva de Kuznets (1955) una desmejora del indicador de inequidad en el corto plazo logra mayor igualdad en el largo plazo como efecto del crecimiento económico. El estudio se hace para Colombia con datos trimestrales, para el período entre 1977 y 2005. Nuestros resultados sugieren que la hipótesis de Kuznets puede explicar la relación entre crecimiento económico y distribución del ingreso en Colombia. Por otro lado, no se encuentra efecto de corto plazo sobre la distribución del ingreso con respecto al crecimiento poblacional, ni a la tasa de cambio. En el largo plazo, se encuentra que el aumento en la población empeora la desigualdad y que la depreciación del peso incrementa la desigualdad.

Suggested Citation

  • Julio César Alonso Cifuentes & Ángela María González Terán,, 2017. "Evaluación de la Hipótesis de Kuznets para Colombia con una aproximación de series de tiempo: 1977-2005," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 36(63), pages 43-62, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000152:015360
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Dilek Demirbas & Mustafa Disli & Monica Parra, 2021. "Resilience and Path Dependency: Income Distribution Effects of GDP in Colombia," Working Papers hal-03365148, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Desigualdad de ingresos; crecimiento económico; tasa de cambio; largo plazo; corto plazo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D33 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Factor Income Distribution
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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