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Kidnapping as a long-term factor for cruise tourism demand: Evidence from Mexico (El secuestro como factor de largo plazo para la demanda de turismo de cruceros: evidencia de México)

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando Sánchez López
  • José Nabor Cruz Marcelo

Abstract

Cruise tourism is considered as one of the most attractive tourism segments and as one of the safest ways to travel. This document aims to analyse the impact that registered kidnappings have had on long-term cruise tourism. The analysis is carried out using an ARDL model with quarterly time series data for the period 1997Q1 – 2017Q4. The results indicate that the arrivals of cruise tourists has been inelastic in the face of the changes in the number of kidnappings although the negative effect of this violent crime remains in the long-term. Therefore, it is necessary to apply policies that generate the peace and tranquillity that should be given to travellers.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Sánchez López & José Nabor Cruz Marcelo, 2019. "Kidnapping as a long-term factor for cruise tourism demand: Evidence from Mexico (El secuestro como factor de largo plazo para la demanda de turismo de cruceros: evidencia de México)," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 83(5), pages 185-217, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000090:017429
    as

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    File URL: https://revistas.uniandes.edu.co/doi/pdf/10.13043/dys.83.5
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ARDL; Mexico; travel abroad; violence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • Z30 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - General
    • Z39 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - Other

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