This paper tests the hypothesis that idiosyncratic U.S. disturbances and their international propagation can account for the global depression. Exploiting common stochastic trends in U.S. and Canadian interwar data, the authors estimate a small open economy model for Canada that decomposes output fluctuations into sources identifiable with world and country-specific disturbances. They find that the onset, depth, and duration of output collapse in both Canada and the United States are primarily attributable to a common, permanent output shock, leaving little significant role for idiosyncratic disturbances originating in either economy.
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Volume (Year): 29 (1996) Issue (Month): 1 (February) Pages: 1-36 Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML,
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Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:29:y:1996:i:1:p:1-36
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Ahmed, Shaghil & Ickes, Barry W. & Ping Wang & Byung Sam Yoo, 1993.
"International Business Cycles,"
American Economic Review,
American Economic Association, vol. 83(3), pages 335-59, June.
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Ahmed, S. & Ickes, B. & Wang, P. & Yoo, S., 1989.
"International Business Cycles,"
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7-89-4, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics.