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Money, Output, and Real Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy

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Author Info
Shaghil Ahmed
Radha Murthy
Abstract

This paper examines some key propositions of real business cycle theory using a small open-economy framework and a structural vector autoregressive methodology. Identification is achieved by long-run restrictions. The main results from the Canadian economy are that domestic supply shocks are important in explaining short-run fluctuations in output, while real interest rate and terms-of-trade changes are not; an important source of the money-output correlation is output shocks affecting inside money in the short run; and the presence of a causal influence of high-powered money or demand deposits on output is not strongly supported by the data. This paper examines some key propositions of real business cycle theory using a small open-economy framework and a structural VAR methodology. Identification is achieved by long-run restrictions. The main results from the Canadian economy are (i) domestic supply shocks are important in explaining short-run fluctuations in output, while real interest rate and terms of trade changes are not; (ii) an important source of the money-output correlation is output shocks affecting inside money in the short run; and (iii) the presence of a causal influence of high-powered money or demand deposits on output is not strongly supported by the data.

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Article provided by Canadian Economics Association in its journal Canadian Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 27 (1994)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 982-93
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Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:27:y:1994:i:4:p:982-93

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Postal: Canadian Economics Association Prof. Steven Ambler, Secretary-Treasurer c/o Olivier Lebert, CEA/CJE/CPP Office CIREQ-C.R.D.E., Université de Montréal C.P. 6128, succursale Centre-ville Montréal, Québec, H3C 3J7, Canada
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  1. Thomas Lubik & Wing Leong Teo, 2005. "Do Terms of Trade Shocks Drive Business Cycles? Some Evidence from Structural Estimation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 377, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Thomas Lubik & Wing Teo, 2005. "Do World Shocks Drive Domestic Business Cycles? Some Evidence from Structural Estimation," Economics Working Paper Archive 522, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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