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Donald Trump and the West – A Description of Changing Relations Based on Data on Voting by the UN General Assembly

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  • Martin Mosler
  • Niklas Potrafke

Abstract

The United States of America has distanced itself from its Western allies during Donald Trump’s first year in office, according to a study by the ifo Institute on voting behaviour in the UN General Assembly of the G7, NATO, OECD and WEOG countries. The concordance rates for UN resolutions dropped by up to 13.2 percentage points compared to the average rate in the first years in office of all other US presidents prior to Trump. The differences are nevertheless smaller than in the early years of US presidents Bush Sr. and Bush Jr. In other words, Donald Trump’s position to date is surprisingly better than his media image would suggest. In terms of content, the USA is currently distancing itself from the Israel-Palestine conflict and from questions of the economic development of its Western Allies in the UN General Assembly. To a lesser extent this also applies to resolutions on arms control, for which US concordance rates also fell. Most of the votes by the UN General Assembly take place between the autumn and winter of a year. The trade war currently being masterminded by Donald Trump will presumably alienate the USA from its Western allies even further. An important question is how the diminishing similarities between the industrialised countries and, in some cases, changing political alliances, will impact economic factors like external trade, foreign direct investment and economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke, 2018. "Donald Trump and the West – A Description of Changing Relations Based on Data on Voting by the UN General Assembly," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(14), pages 38-42, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:14:p:38-42
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arye Hillman & Niklas Potrafke, 2015. "The UN Goldstone Report and retraction: an empirical investigation," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 247-266, June.
    2. Raphael Becker & Arye Hillman & Niklas Potrafke & Alexander Schwemmer, 2015. "The preoccupation of the United Nations with Israel: Evidence and theory," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 413-437, December.
    3. Dreher, Axel & Jensen, Nathan M., 2013. "Country or leader? Political change and UN General Assembly voting," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 183-196.
    4. Niklas Potrafke, 2009. "Does government ideology influence political alignment with the U.S.? An empirical analysis of voting in the UN General Assembly," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 245-268, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Henning Vöpel & Harms Bandholz & Gabriel Felbermayr & Christoph Spengel & Jost Heckemeyer & Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke & Henrik Müller & Gabriel J. Felbermayr, 2020. "The US Before the Election Campaign: The Traces of Donald Trump in Business and Politics," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(01), pages 03-29, January.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions

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