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How much revenue loss can be expected from the introduction of a consumption tax system? Less than 1% of GDP?

Author

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  • Johannes Becker
  • Clemens Fuest

Abstract

The current tax system is frequently seen as a reason for the continuingly weak investment and growth in Germany. A consumption-oriented reform of the tax system is thus favoured by many German economists. Critics of this idea point out that this will lead to a reduction of the assessment basis at the enterprise level, which would either require higher tax rates or would result in high tax revenue shortfalls. Prof. Clemens Fuest and Johannes Becker, University of Cologne, examine the amount of revenue losses that would occur if Germany introduced a consumption-based system of taxation at unchanged tax rates. They show that the loss of tax revenue in the case of a consumption-oriented tax reform in 1983 to 1998 would have been surprisingly small. Apparently, the loss of revenue that would result from a reduction of the assessment basis would be offset by considerable gains from the abolition of tax loopholes and tax-deductible write-offs.

Suggested Citation

  • Johannes Becker & Clemens Fuest, 2005. "How much revenue loss can be expected from the introduction of a consumption tax system? Less than 1% of GDP?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(03), pages 23-25, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:58:y:2005:i:03:p:23-25
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roger H. Gordon & Joel Slemrod, 1988. "Do We Collect Any Revenue from Taxing Capital Income?," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy: Volume 2, pages 89-130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Johannes Becker & Clemens Fuest, 2005. "Does Germany Collect Revenue from Taxing Capital Income?," CESifo Working Paper Series 1489, CESifo.
    3. Michael P. Devereux & Rachel Griffith & Alexander Klemm, 2002. "Corporate income tax reforms and international tax competition [‘Do domestic firms benefit from direct foreign investment? Evidence from Venezuela’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 17(35), pages 449-495.
    4. Gordon, Roger & Kalambokidis, Laura & Slemrod, Joel, 2004. "Do we now collect any revenue from taxing capital income?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(5), pages 981-1009, April.
    5. Clemens Fuest & Alfons J. Weichenrieder & Alfons Weichenrieder, 2002. "Tax Competition and Profit Shifting: On the Relationship between Personal and Corporate Tax Rates," CESifo Working Paper Series 781, CESifo.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fuest, Clemens & Peichl, Andreas & Schaefer, Thilo, 2005. "Aufkommens-, Beschäftigungs- und Wachstumswirkungen einer Steuerreform nach dem Vorschlag von Mitschke [Revenue, employment and growth effects of the tax reform proposal by Mitschke]," FiFo Reports - FiFo-Berichte 5, University of Cologne, FiFo Institute for Public Economics.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D10 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - General
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General

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