IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifodre/v25y2018i01p22-28.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

ifo Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2017/2018: Ostdeutsche Wirtschaftwächst langsamer als die westdeutsche

Author

Listed:
  • Jannik André Nauerth
  • Joachim Ragnitz
  • Michael Weber

Abstract

Deutschland befindet sich auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur. Im Laufe des Jahres 2017 legten der Export und die Investitionen kräftig zu, gleichzeitig blieb die Situation am Arbeitsmarkt stabil. Hiervon kann auch Ostdeutschland profitieren. Aufgrund der eher binnenwirtschaftlichen Orientierung der ostdeutschen Wirtschaft bleibt die konjunkturelle Dynamik aber leicht hinter der gesamtdeutschen Entwicklung zurück. Insgesamt dürfte die ostdeutsche Wirtschaft im Jahr 2017 um 2,0 % gewachsen sein und 2018 mit gleichem Tempo expandieren. Im Freistaat Sachsen dürften die Zuwachsraten aufgrund der im ostdeutschen Vergleich etwas stärkeren außenwirtschaftlichen Orientierung mit 2,1 % bzw. 2,2 % etwas höher sein.

Suggested Citation

  • Jannik André Nauerth & Joachim Ragnitz & Michael Weber, 2018. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2017/2018: Ostdeutsche Wirtschaftwächst langsamer als die westdeutsche," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(01), pages 22-28, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:25:y:2018:i:01:p:22-28
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifoDD_18-01_22-28_Nauerth.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gabriel Felbermayr & Clemens Fuest & Jasmin Katrin Gröschl & Daniel Stöhlker, 2017. "Economic Effects of Brexit on the European Economy," EconPol Policy Reports 4, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    2. Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Dorine Boumans & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & S. Lauterbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & F, 2017. "ifo Economic Forecast 2017/2018: Germany’s Economy Is Strong and Stable," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(12), pages 30-83, June.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Deutschlandprognose 2017-2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(01), pages 17-21, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Patrick Bisciari, 2019. "A survey of the long-term impact of Brexit on the UK and the EU27 economies," Working Paper Research 366, National Bank of Belgium.
    2. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
    3. Halmai, Péter, 2020. "A dezintegráció gazdaságtana. A brexit esete [The economics of disintegration. The case of Brexit]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 837-877.
    4. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "Business Cycle 2018: Forecast and Reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(03), pages 22-29, February.
    5. Iuliana MÎNĂSCURTĂ, 2019. "The European Union. Brexit – Causes and Consequences," Journal of Mediation & Social Welfare, Editura Lumen, vol. 1(1), pages 42-49, December.
    6. Ana Venâncio & João Pereira dos Santos, 2021. "The effect of Brexit on British workers living in the EU," Working Papers REM 2021/0197, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    7. Rolf J. Langhammer & Lisandra Flach & Feodora Teti & Lena Wiest & Margherita Atzei & Lisa Scheckenhofer & Joachim Wuermeling & Carsten Hefeker & Friedemann Kainer & Philipp Harms & Michael Kaeding, 2020. "Down to the Wire: The Struggle for a Brexit Deal," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(12), pages 03-27, December.
    8. David Bauer & Joachim Ragnitz & Julia Sonnenburg & Michael Weber, 2018. "Public Staffing through 2030 in the Free State of Saxony and the Competitive Situation to the Private Sector," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 81.
    9. Banse, Martin & Freund, Florian, 2018. "Mögliche Auswirkungen eines harten oder weichen Brexit auf die deutsche Landwirtschaft - Update," Thünen Working Papers 95, Johann Heinrich von Thünen Institute, Federal Research Institute for Rural Areas, Forestry and Fisheries.
    10. David Bauer & Julia Sonnenburg & Michael Weber, 2018. "Für ein Viertel der älteren Beschäftigten in Sachsen könnte bald der Nachwuchs fehlen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(03), pages 03-08, June.
    11. Catherine Mathieu, 2020. "Brexit: what economic impacts does the literature anticipate?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/2jt9boop748, Sciences Po.
    12. Lisandra Flach & Feodora Teti & Lena Wiest & Margherita Atzei, 2020. "EU27 and the UK: Product Dependencies and the Implications of Brexit," EconPol Policy Brief 32, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    13. Freund, Florian & Banse, Martin & Pelikan, Janine, 2018. "Losing Preferential Access to Third Countries after Brexit - What is at stake?," Conference papers 330186, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    14. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Economic Situation 2017: Forecast and Reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
    15. repec:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:04:p:68-68 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2jt9boop748r0ql0k1lmshm5ou is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Anna-Pauliina, 2019. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2019: Deutsche Konjunktur ohne Schwung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(12), pages 25-78, June.
    18. Timo Wollmershäuser & Silvia Delrio & Clemens Fuest & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & Rad, 2017. "ifo Economic Forecast 2017–2019: German Economy on Track to Boom," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(24), pages 28-81, December.
    19. Christian Grimme & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "The Impact of Changes in Commodity Prices on the Current Account Balance," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(14), pages 44-46, July.
    20. Cardoso, Miguel, 2020. "The welfare impact of migration with endogenous cross-border movement: An application to the European Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 205-216.
    21. Gabriel Felbermayr & Robert Lehmann & Marina Steininger, 2018. "Brexit and its Economic Consequences for the German State of Hesse," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 93.
    22. Catherine Mathieu, 2020. "Brexit: what economic impacts does the literature anticipate?," Post-Print hal-03403036, HAL.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:25:y:2018:i:01:p:22-28. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.