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Quelles options pour réduire la dépendance à la croissance du système de retraite français ?

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  • Didier Blanchet
  • Antoine Bozio
  • Simon Rabaté

Abstract

The French pension system has been intensively reformed over the last decades and these reforms are expected to have very siginificant financial impacts. Yet two problems remain. The first one is the need of simplifying a system that is still complex and inhomogenous. The second one is that these reforms do not manage adequately the economic and demographic uncertainties to which the system is exposed. Its sensitivity to economic growth assumptions has been even reinforced by the move to price indexation mechanisms that took place in the late 1980s. This paper explores solutions to this latter issue with the Pensipp microsimulation model, considering three categories of new reforms: two structural reforms (notional accounts or a generalized points system) and one parametric scenario limited to rationalizing current indexation rules. Classification JEL : H2, H3, J2.

Suggested Citation

  • Didier Blanchet & Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté, 2016. "Quelles options pour réduire la dépendance à la croissance du système de retraite français ?," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 67(4), pages 879-911.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_674_0879
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    Cited by:

    1. Frédéric Gannon & Gilles Le Garrec & Gautier Lenfant & Vincent Touzé, 2020. "Pension d’un salarié du secteur privé et transitions vers un système universel de retraite par points : Etude d’impact pour une carrière complète sous plafond," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    2. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/7abc1ul1fc9j29enqm2mtvin0s is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté & Audrey Rain & Maxime To, 2019. "Quelles règles de pilotage pour un système de retraite à rendement défini?," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-02514738, HAL.
    4. Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté & Audrey Rain & Maxime Tô, 2019. "How should a points pension system be managed?," Institut des Politiques Publiques halshs-02516413, HAL.
    5. Frédéric Gannon & Gilles Le Garrec & Gautier Lenfant & Vincent Touze, 2020. "Pension d’un salarié du secteur privé et transitions vers un système universel de retraite par points : Etude d’impact pour une carrière complète sous plafond: Etude d’impact pour une carrière complèt," Sciences Po publications 11/2020, Sciences Po.
    6. Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté & Audrey Rain & Maxime Tô, 2018. "Quelle réforme du système de retraite ? Les grands enjeux," Post-Print halshs-02520841, HAL.
    7. Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté & Audrey Rain & Maxime Tô, 2018. "Reforming the French pension system : the main challenges," Post-Print halshs-02520835, HAL.
    8. Claire Marbot & Delphine Roy, 2015. "Projections du coût de l’APA et des caractéristiques de ses bénéficiaires à l’horizon 2040 à l’aide du modèle Destinie," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 481(1), pages 185-209.
    9. Marina Tabatadze, 2019. "Optimal Structure of Pension System and Its Influence on the Social Policy of State Budget," Proceedings of the 13th International RAIS Conference, June 10-11, 2019 03 MT, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    10. Frédéric Gannon & Gilles Le Garrec & Gautier Lenfant & Vincent Touzé, 2019. "Vers un système universel de retraite par points : analyse des coûts ou gains de transition possibles pour différents profils-types de carrières," Working Papers hal-03403149, HAL.
    11. Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté & Audrey Rain & Maxime Tô, 2018. "Reforming the French pension system : the main challenges," Post-Print halshs-02520835, HAL.
    12. Baurin, Arno & Hindriks, Jean, 2023. "Intergenerational consequences of gradual pension reforms," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    13. Catherine Bac & Samia Benallah, 2016. "Glissement de la norme de contributivité au régime général d'assurance-vieillesse : une estimation des effets potentiels sur le niveau des pensions," Post-Print hal-02968979, HAL.
    14. Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté & Audrey Rain & Maxime Tô, 2018. "Quelle réforme du système de retraite ? Les grands enjeux," Institut des Politiques Publiques halshs-02520841, HAL.
    15. Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté & Maxime Tô & Julie Tréguier, 2023. "Financial Incentives and Labor Force Participation of Older Workers: Evidence from France," NBER Chapters, in: Social Security Programs and Retirement around the World: The Effects of Reforms on Retirement Behavior, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor

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