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The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth: A Survey

Author

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  • Rapetti Martin

    (CONICET, Buenos Aires, Argentina)

Abstract

This paper offers a systematic survey of recent research evaluating the impact of the level and volatility of the real exchange rate (RER) on economic growth. Existing empirical work finds a positive association between RER levels and economic growth, especially in developing countries. This relationship appears to be driven by cases of overvaluation hurting and undervaluation favoring growth. RER volatility, in turn, has a negative impact on growth. Together with the review of the literature, panel growth regressions with the 9.0 version of the Penn World Table database are carried out to evaluate previous findings. The paper also surveys the literature studying the mechanisms that explain the positive growth effect of the RER. One of them emphasizes that an undervalued RER reduces macroeconomic volatility, favoring capital accumulation and growth. Another one stresses that a competitive RER stimulates capital accumulation in modern tradable activities, facilitating structural change and economic development.

Suggested Citation

  • Rapetti Martin, 2020. "The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth: A Survey," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 11(2), pages 1-054, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:globdv:v:11:y:2020:i:2:p:054:n:2
    DOI: 10.1515/jgd-2019-0024
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nell, Kevin, 2023. "Inflation and growth in developing economies: A tribute to Professor Thirlwall," MPRA Paper 118757, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Sep 2023.
    2. Abdallah, Ali, 2022. "Dépréciation réelle de la monnaie et croissance économique [Can real currency depreciation lead growth?]," MPRA Paper 113183, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Jungmann, Benjamin, 2021. "Growth drivers in emerging capitalist economies before and after the Global Financial Crisis," IPE Working Papers 172/2021, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    4. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi, 2021. "Thirlwall's law: Binding-constraint or centre-of-gravity? A possible Kaleckian solution," Department of Economics University of Siena 853, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    5. Palazzo, Gabriel & Rapetti, Martín, 2023. "From macro to micro and macro back: Macroeconomic trade elasticities in a developing economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 223-252.
    6. Benjamin Jungmann, 2023. "Growth drivers in emerging capitalist economies: building blocks for a post-Keynesian analysis and an empirical exploration of the years before and after the Global Financial Crisis," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 349-386, July.
    7. Musa Esuwa Shingil & Huseyin Ozdeser & Andisheh Saliminezhad, 2022. "Investigation of Balance of Payment Constrained Growth Model: The Impact of Export Growth, Capital Flows, and Real Effective Exchange Rate on Growth of the UK," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    8. Robert A. Blecker, 2022. "New advances and controversies in the framework of balance‐of‐payments‐constrained growth," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 429-467, April.
    9. John Bosco Nnyanzi & John Bosco Oryema & Nicholas Kilimani, 2022. "Real exchange rate undervaluation, regional integration and services sector performance: evidence from the East African Community," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-23, December.
    10. Khezri, Mohsen & Heshmati, Almas & Ghazal, Reza & Khodaei, Mehdi, 2022. "Non-resource revenues and the resource curse in different institutional structures: The DIGNAR-MTFF model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Ugurlu, Esra Nur & Razmi, Arslan, 2023. "Political economy of real exchange rate levels," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 918-940.
    12. Hugo Iasco-Pereira & Fabricio José Missio, 2022. "Would a competitive real exchange rate be a driver of economic prosperity?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 75(303), pages 355-383.
    13. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil & Oreiro, José, 2021. "A song of ice and fire: Competitiveness in an export-led growing economy," MPRA Paper 109821, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Arslan Razmi, 2022. "The real consequences of policy‐driven exchange rate cycles: A stylized comparison of East Asia and Latin America," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(2), pages 190-212, March.

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