IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/srbeha/v31y2014i4p502-511.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A System Dynamics Modelling of Contagion Effects in Accounts Risk Management

Author

Listed:
  • Desheng Dash Wu
  • David L. Olson

Abstract

Financial contagion has been with us as long as there has been an economy. The system of collective human behavior usually creates stable markets, but occasionally, this collective behavior results in various bubbles. Financial contagion specifically deals with the domino effect of one banking institution failing, which, as a result of interrelationships with other banks, leads to further failures. The year 1929 was a very bad year, but 2008 had its moments as well. These financial contagions result in undermining confidence in similar institutions. Our research question is to examine whether the role of accounts receivable payments is affected by social interaction of those holding loans from a lending institution. System dynamics modelling is used to demonstrate the impact of word‐of‐mouth social contacts on accounts receivable, and the ensuing increase in financial risk. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Desheng Dash Wu & David L. Olson, 2014. "A System Dynamics Modelling of Contagion Effects in Accounts Risk Management," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 502-511, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:srbeha:v:31:y:2014:i:4:p:502-511
    DOI: 10.1002/sres.2291
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/sres.2291
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/sres.2291?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sharma,Shalendra D., 2013. "Global Financial Contagion," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107609617.
    2. Archer, N. P. & Wesolowsky, G. O., 1994. "A dynamic service quality cost model with word-of-mouth advertising," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 78(3), pages 355-366, November.
    3. Iyer, Rajkamal & Peydró, José-Luis, 2011. "Interbank contagion at work: Evidence from a natural experiment," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 24(4), pages 1337-1377.
    4. Simplice A ASONGU, 2012. "Globalization Financial Crisis And Contagion Time Dynamic Evidence From Financial Markets Of Developing Countries," Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, vol. 3(2), pages 131-139.
    5. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. George A. Akerlof, 2009. "How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1175-1175.
    7. Duan, Wenjing & Gu, Bin & Whinston, Andrew B., 2008. "The dynamics of online word-of-mouth and product sales—An empirical investigation of the movie industry," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 233-242.
    8. Sharma,Shalendra D., 2013. "Global Financial Contagion," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107027206.
    9. Hazhir Rahmandad & John Sterman, 2008. "Heterogeneity and Network Structure in the Dynamics of Diffusion: Comparing Agent-Based and Differential Equation Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(5), pages 998-1014, May.
    10. Bernadette O'Regan & Richard Moles, 2001. "A System Dynamics Model of Mining Industry Investment Decisions within the Context of Environmental Policy," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 245-262.
    11. Rogelio Oliva & John D. Sterman, 2001. "Cutting Corners and Working Overtime: Quality Erosion in the Service Industry," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(7), pages 894-914, July.
    12. Shepherd, Simon & Bonsall, Peter & Harrison, Gillian, 2012. "Factors affecting future demand for electric vehicles: A model based study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 62-74.
    13. Dungey, Mardi & Tambakis, Demosthenes N. (ed.), 2005. "Identifying International Financial Contagion: Progress and Challenges," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195187182.
    14. John D. Sterman & Nelson P. Repenning & Fred Kofman, 1997. "Unanticipated Side Effects of Successful Quality Programs: Exploring a Paradox of Organizational Improvement," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 503-521, April.
    15. John T. Harvey, 2002. "Keynes’ Chapter 22: A System Dynamics Model," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 373-381, June.
    16. Simplice A, Asongu, 2012. "Financial development dynamic thresholds of financial globalization: evidence from Africa," MPRA Paper 44254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yongrok Choi & Xiaoxia Ye & Lu Zhao & Amanda C. Luo, 2016. "Optimizing enterprise risk management: a literature review and critical analysis of the work of Wu and Olson," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 237(1), pages 281-300, February.
    2. Yongrok Choi & Xiaoxia Ye & Lu Zhao & Amanda Luo, 2016. "Optimizing enterprise risk management: a literature review and critical analysis of the work of Wu and Olson," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 237(1), pages 281-300, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Felicjan Rydzak & Paul A. Monus, 2018. "Shaping organizational network structure to enable sustainable transformation," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 34(1-2), pages 255-283, January.
    2. Klodt, Henning & Lehment, Harmen (ed.), 2009. "The Crisis and Beyond," Kiel E-Books, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), number 60981.
    3. Hazhir Rahmandad & Nelson Repenning, 2016. "Capability erosion dynamics," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(4), pages 649-672, April.
    4. Dirk Helbing, 2013. "Economics 2.0: The Natural Step towards A Self-Regulating, Participatory Market Society," Papers 1305.4078, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2013.
    5. Meloria Meschi & Carla Pace, 2012. "Accounting for Behavioral Biases for Non-biased Demand Estimations," Chapters, in: Michael A. Crew & Paul R. Kleindorfer (ed.), Multi-Modal Competition and the Future of Mail, chapter 24, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Mario Cedrini & Marco Novarese, 2015. "The challenge of fear to economics," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 14(1), pages 99-106, June.
    7. Jasman Tuyon & Zamri Ahmada, 2016. "Behavioural finance perspectives on Malaysian stock market efficiency," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 16(1), pages 43-61, March.
    8. Hans-Rüdiger Pfister & Gisela Böhm, 2012. "Responder Feelings in a Three-Player Three-Option Ultimatum Game: Affective Determinants of Rejection Behavior," Games, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-29, February.
    9. Ashok Chakravarti, 2012. "Institutions, Economic Performance and the Visible Hand," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14751.
    10. Yasuhiro Sakai, 2016. "J.M. Keynes and F.H. Knight : How to Deal with Risk, Probability and Uncertainty," Discussion Papers CRR Discussion Paper Series A: General 15, Shiga University, Faculty of Economics,Center for Risk Research.
    11. Congdon, William J. & Kling, Jeffrey R. & Mullainathan, Sendhil, 2009. "Behavioral Economics and Tax Policy," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 62(3), pages 375-386, September.
    12. Michelle Baddeley & Geoff Harcourt, 2021. "A Behavioural Model of Investment Appraisal and its Implications for the Macroeconomy," Working Paper Series 2021/05, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    13. Richard Berner, 2019. "Adaptive markets: financial evolution at the speed of thought by Andrew Lo," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 89-91, January.
    14. Hsu, Liwu & Lawrence, Benjamin, 2016. "The role of social media and brand equity during a product recall crisis: A shareholder value perspective," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 59-77.
    15. Mike Dempsey, 2014. "The Modigliani and Miller Propositions: The History of a Failed Foundation for Corporate Finance?," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 50(3), pages 279-295, September.
    16. Driscoll, John C. & Holden, Steinar, 2014. "Behavioral economics and macroeconomic models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 133-147.
    17. Pieper, Torsten M., 2010. "Non solus: Toward a psychology of family business," Journal of Family Business Strategy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 26-39, March.
    18. Zamri Ahmad & Haslindar Ibrahim & Jasman Tuyon, 2017. "Institutional investor behavioral biases: syntheses of theory and evidence," Management Research Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(5), pages 578-603, May.
    19. Altman, Morris, 2014. "Insights from behavioral economics on how labor markets work," Working Paper Series 3466, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    20. Krystian Mucha, 2010. "Czynniki wyjaśniające zjawisko luki percepcji wśród konsumentów w okresie przyjmowania euro," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1-2, pages 67-87.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:srbeha:v:31:y:2014:i:4:p:502-511. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/1092-7026 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.