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Asset Price Bubbles, Liquidity Preference And The Business Cycle

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Author Info
Korkut A. Erturk

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Abstract

In his Treatise on Money, Keynes relied on two different themes to argue that the interest rate need not rise with rising levels of expenditure. One of these was the elasticity of the money supply, and the other was the interaction between financial and industrial circulation. A decrease (increase) in what Keynes called the bear position was similar in its impact to that of a policy-induced increase (decrease) in the money supply. In the General Theory, this second line of argument lost much of its force as it became reformulated under the rubric of Keynes liquidity preference theory of interest. Assuming that the expected return on capital adjusts to the interest rate in short-period equilibrium, Keynes ignored the effect of bull or bear sentiment in equity markets as a second-order complication that can be ignored in analyzing the equilibrium level of investment and output. The objective of this paper is to go back to this old theme from the Treatise and underscore its importance for Keynesian theory of the business cycle. Copyright © 2006 The Author; Journal compilation © 2006 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Metroeconomica.

Volume (Year): 57 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 (05)
Pages: 239-256
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Handle: RePEc:bla:metroe:v:57:y:2006:i:2:p:239-256

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. James Tobin, 1956. "Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 14, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Shleifer, Andrei & Summers, Lawrence H, 1990. "The Noise Trader Approach to Finance," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 19-33, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Korkut A. ErtŸrk, 2005. "Macroeconomics of Speculation," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_424, Levy Economics Institute, The. [Downloadable!]
  2. Korkut Erturk, 2005. "Economic Volatility and Capital Account Liberalization in Emerging Countries," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 399-417, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Korkut Erturk, 2005. "Speculation, Liquidity Preference and Monetary Circulation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2005_12, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    Other versions:
  4. Korkut A. Erturk, 2006. "On the Minskyan Business Cycle," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_474, Levy Economics Institute, The. [Downloadable!]
  5. Korkut Erturk, 2005. "Macroeconomics of Speculation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2005_02, University of Utah, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Antonio Carlos Macedo e Silva, 2006. "Detalhes Extraviados E Ausências Conspícuas: Do Treatise À General Theory," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 114, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
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