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Multivariate Stable Futures Prices

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  • B. N. Cheng
  • S. T. Rachev

Abstract

This paper introduces new techniques for modeling financial data under the assumption that the data belong to the domain of attraction of a multivariate stable Pareto law. We provide tail estimators for the index of stability parameter a and the corresponding spectral measure. These estimators are then applied to test the associtation of the individual components and to compute estimates of portfolio risk and the covariation of commodities. A practical example is given using DM‐dollar and JY‐dollar exchange rates data.

Suggested Citation

  • B. N. Cheng & S. T. Rachev, 1995. "Multivariate Stable Futures Prices," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(2), pages 133-153, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:mathfi:v:5:y:1995:i:2:p:133-153
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9965.1995.tb00106.x
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    1. Einmahl, J.H.J., 1987. "Multivariate empirical processes," Other publications TiSEM 4d74fa6b-5281-48ea-aa4d-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
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    Cited by:

    1. Todorov, Viktor, 2019. "Nonparametric inference for the spectral measure of a bivariate pure-jump semimartingale," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(2), pages 419-451.
    2. Tsionas, Mike, 2012. "Simple techniques for likelihood analysis of univariate and multivariate stable distributions: with extensions to multivariate stochastic volatility and dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 40966, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Aug 2012.
    3. Tsionas, Mike G., 2016. "Bayesian analysis of multivariate stable distributions using one-dimensional projections," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 185-193.
    4. Ramona Serrano Bautista & Leovardo Mata Mata, 2018. "Estimación del VaR mediante un modelo condicional multivariado bajo la hipótesis α-estable sub-Gaussiana. (A conditional approach to VaR with multivariate α-stable sub-Gaussian distributions)," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 43-76, May.
    5. Molchanov, Ilya, 2009. "Convex and star-shaped sets associated with multivariate stable distributions, I: Moments and densities," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(10), pages 2195-2213, November.
    6. Calzolari, Giorgio & Halbleib, Roxana, 2018. "Estimating stable latent factor models by indirect inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 280-301.
    7. Ravishanker, Nalini & Qiou, Zuqiang, 1999. "Monte Carlo EM estimation for multivariate stable distributions," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 335-340, December.
    8. Jensen DR, 2017. "Limits and Inferences for Alpha–Stable Variables," Biostatistics and Biometrics Open Access Journal, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 4(1), pages 15-18, December.
    9. Tsionas, Efthymios G., 2012. "Estimating multivariate heavy tails and principal directions easily, with an application to international exchange rates," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(11), pages 1986-1989.
    10. Pivato, Marcus & Seco, Luis, 2003. "Estimating the spectral measure of a multivariate stable distribution via spherical harmonic analysis," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 219-240, November.
    11. Damarackas, Julius & Paulauskas, Vygantas, 2017. "Spectral covariance and limit theorems for random fields with infinite variance," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 156-175.
    12. Ogata, Hiroaki, 2013. "Estimation for multivariate stable distributions with generalized empirical likelihood," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 248-254.
    13. Ortobelli, Sergio & Rachev, Svetlozar & Schwartz, Eduardo, 2000. "The Problem of Optimal Asset Allocation with Stable Distributed Returns," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt3zd6q86c, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    14. Karling, Maicon J. & Lopes, Sílvia R.C. & de Souza, Roberto M., 2023. "Multivariate α-stable distributions: VAR(1) processes, measures of dependence and their estimations," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    15. Lombardi, Marco J. & Veredas, David, 2009. "Indirect estimation of elliptical stable distributions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2309-2324, April.
    16. Jonathan B. Hill, 2005. "On Tail Index Estimation for Dependent, Heterogenous Data," Econometrics 0505005, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Mar 2006.

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