Long-Memory Risk Premia in Exchange Rates
AbstractThe authors examine the time series properties of spot rates, forecast errors, and forward premia for several countries in both the interwar and postwar floating exchange rate periods. They find that forward premia often appear to be well described by fractional processes, suggesting that risk premia follow fractional processes given rational expectations. This empirical finding is consistent with existing theoretical models if the underlying forces driving the risk premium involve fractional processes. Copyright 1996 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by University of Manchester in its journal The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies.
Volume (Year): 64 (1996)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
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Web page: http://www.socialsciences.manchester.ac.uk/disciplines/economics/
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- Sekioua, Sofiane H., 2006. "Nonlinear adjustment in the forward premium: evidence from a threshold unit root test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 164-183.
- Sofiane Sekioua, 2004. "The forward unbiasedness hypothesis and the forward premium: a nonlinear analysis," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 85, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
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