IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jtsera/v36y2015i1p67-83.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On Weighted Portmanteau Tests For Time-Series Goodness-Of-Fit

Author

Listed:
  • Colin M. Gallagher
  • Thomas J. Fisher

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="jtsa12093-abs-0001"> Recent work in the literature has shown weighted variants of the classic portmanteau test for time series can be more powerful in many situations. In this article, we study the asymptotic distribution of weighted sums of the squared residual autocorrelations where both the sample size n and maximum lag of the statistic m grow large. Several weighting schemes are introduced, including a data-adaptive statistic in which the weights are determined by a function of the sample partial autocorrelations. These statistics can provide more power than other portmanteau tests found in the literature and are much less sensitive to the choice of the maximum correlation lag. The efficacy of the proposed methods is further demonstrated through an analysis of Australian red wine sales.

Suggested Citation

  • Colin M. Gallagher & Thomas J. Fisher, 2015. "On Weighted Portmanteau Tests For Time-Series Goodness-Of-Fit," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 67-83, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:36:y:2015:i:1:p:67-83
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/jtsa.12093
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hong, Yongmiao, 1996. "Consistent Testing for Serial Correlation of Unknown Form," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 837-864, July.
    2. Esam Mahdi & A. Ian McLeod, 2012. "Improved multivariate portmanteau test," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 211-222, March.
    3. Franklin Satterthwaite, 1941. "Synthesis of variance," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 6(5), pages 309-316, October.
    4. Thomas J. Fisher & Colin M. Gallagher, 2012. "New Weighted Portmanteau Statistics for Time Series Goodness of Fit Testing," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(498), pages 777-787, June.
    5. Shao, Xiaofeng, 2011. "Testing For White Noise Under Unknown Dependence And Its Applications To Diagnostic Checking For Time Series Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(2), pages 312-343, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Cirkovic & Thomas J. Fisher, 2021. "On testing for the equality of autocovariance in time series," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(7), November.
    2. Roberto Baragona & Francesco Battaglia & Domenico Cucina, 2022. "Data-driven portmanteau tests for time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 31(3), pages 675-698, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Roberto Baragona & Francesco Battaglia & Domenico Cucina, 2022. "Data-driven portmanteau tests for time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 31(3), pages 675-698, September.
    2. Daniel Cirkovic & Thomas J. Fisher, 2021. "On testing for the equality of autocovariance in time series," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(7), November.
    3. Ke Zhu, 2016. "Bootstrapping the portmanteau tests in weak auto-regressive moving average models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(2), pages 463-485, March.
    4. Zhang, Xianyang, 2016. "White noise testing and model diagnostic checking for functional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 76-95.
    5. Chang, Jinyuan & Jiang, Qing & Shao, Xiaofeng, 2023. "Testing the martingale difference hypothesis in high dimension," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 972-1000.
    6. Mengya Liu & Fukan Zhu & Ke Zhu, 2020. "Multi-frequency-band tests for white noise under heteroskedasticity," Papers 2004.09161, arXiv.org.
    7. Li, Linyuan & Yao, Shan & Duchesne, Pierre, 2014. "On wavelet-based testing for serial correlation of unknown form using Fan’s adaptive Neyman method," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 308-327.
    8. Chen, Min & Zhu, Ke, 2014. "Sign-based specification tests for martingale difference with conditional heteroscedasity," MPRA Paper 56347, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Xuexin Wang & Yixiao Sun, 2020. "An Asymptotic F Test for Uncorrelatedness in the Presence of Time Series Dependence," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 536-550, July.
    10. Characiejus, Vaidotas & Rice, Gregory, 2020. "A general white noise test based on kernel lag-window estimates of the spectral density operator," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 175-196.
    11. Zhu, Ke & Li, Wai Keung, 2015. "A bootstrapped spectral test for adequacy in weak ARMA models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 113-130.
    12. Guay, Alain & Guerre, Emmanuel & Lazarová, Štěpána, 2013. "Robust adaptive rate-optimal testing for the white noise hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 134-145.
    13. Rhys Bidder & Ian Dew-Becker, 2016. "Long-Run Risk Is the Worst-Case Scenario," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(9), pages 2494-2527, September.
    14. Lada, Emily K. & Wilson, James R., 2006. "A wavelet-based spectral procedure for steady-state simulation analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 174(3), pages 1769-1801, November.
    15. repec:wyi:journl:002087 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Czudaj Robert L., 2020. "The role of uncertainty on agricultural futures markets momentum trading and volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-39, June.
    17. Yushu Li & Fredrik N. G. Andersson, 2021. "A simple wavelet-based test for serial correlation in panel data models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 2351-2363, May.
    18. Roman Mestre, 2021. "A wavelet approach of investing behaviors and their effects on risk exposures," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-37, December.
    19. Bura, Efstathia & Cook, R. Dennis, 2003. "Rank estimation in reduced-rank regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 159-176, October.
    20. Hidalgo, Javier, 2009. "Goodness of fit for lattice processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 113-128, August.
    21. Bouri, Elie & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Volatility connectedness of major cryptocurrencies: The role of investor happiness," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:36:y:2015:i:1:p:67-83. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0143-9782 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.