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Seasonality in the Risk-Return Relationship: Some International Evidence

Author

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  • Corhay, Albert
  • Hawawini, Gabriel
  • Michel, Pierre

Abstract

The authors report evidence of monthly seasonality in the estimate of the CAPM-based equity risk premium on the NYSE and the London, Paris, and Brussels exchanges. In Belgium and France, the risk premium is positive in January and negative the rest of the year. In the United Kingdom, it is positive in April and negative the rest of the year. In the United States, the pattern of risk-premium seasonality coincides with the pattern of stock-return seasonality. Both are positive and significant only in January. This is not the case in the European markets. An interpretation of this phenomenon is suggested. Copyright 1987 by American Finance Association.

Suggested Citation

  • Corhay, Albert & Hawawini, Gabriel & Michel, Pierre, 1987. "Seasonality in the Risk-Return Relationship: Some International Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 49-68, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:42:y:1987:i:1:p:49-68
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Jianxin & Yang, Minxian, 2013. "On the risk return relationship," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 132-141.
    2. Easterday, Kathryn E. & Sen, Pradyot K., 2016. "Is the January effect rational? Insights from the accounting valuation model," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 168-185.
    3. Faruk Bostanci & Saim Kilic, 2010. "The Effects of Free Float Ratios on Market Performance: An Empirical Study on the Istanbul Stock Exchange," Istanbul Stock Exchange Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 12(45), pages 1-14.
    4. Graflund, Andreas, 2001. "Some Time Serial Properties of the Swedish Real Estate Stock Market, 1939-1998," Working Papers 2001:8, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    5. Stilianos Fountas & Konstantinos Segredakis, 2002. "Emerging stock markets return seasonalities: the January effect and the tax-loss selling hypothesis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 291-299.
    6. Michael Reutter & Jakob Von Weizsacker & Frank Westermann, 2002. "SeptemBear - A seasonality puzzle in the German stock index DAX," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(11), pages 765-769.
    7. Cox, Kevin C. & Lortie, Jason & Stewart, Steven A., 2017. "When to pray to the angels for funding: The seasonality of angel investing in new ventures," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 7(C), pages 68-76.
    8. Mehmet Hasan Eken & Taylan Ozgür Uner, 2010. "Calendar Effects in the Stock Market and a Practice Relatedn to the Istanbul Stock Exchange Market (ISEM)," Istanbul Stock Exchange Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 12(45), pages 59-95.
    9. repec:bor:iserev:v:12:y:2012:i:45:p:27-58 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:bor:iserev:v:12:y:2012:i:45:p:1-26 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Kathryn L Dewenter & Xi Han & Jennifer L Koski, 2018. "Who Wins When Exchanges Compete?* Evidence from Competition after Euro Conversion [Equity returns and integration: is Europe changing?]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 22(6), pages 2037-2071.
    12. repec:bor:iserev:v:12:y:2012:i:45:p:59-95 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Carlos Francisco Alves & Duarte André de Castro Reis, 2018. "Evidence of Idiosyncratic Seasonality in ETFs Performance," FEP Working Papers 603, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    14. Alford, Alan & Guffey, Daryl M., 1996. "A re-examination of international seasonalities," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17.
    15. Greg Filbeck & Sue Visscher, 1997. "Dividend yield strategies in the British stock market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(4), pages 277-289.
    16. Patricia Chelley-Steeley & James Steeley, 2005. "The leverage effect in the UK stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 409-423.
    17. Ostdiek, Barbara, 1998. "The world ex ante risk premium: an empirical investigation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 967-999, December.
    18. Brian Lucey & Shane Whelan, 2004. "Monthly and semi-annual seasonality in the Irish equity market 1934-2000," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 203-208.
    19. Benjamin R. Auer, 2019. "Does the strength of capital market anomalies exhibit seasonal patterns?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(1), pages 91-103, January.
    20. A. R. Zafer Sayar & Onder Kaymaz & Ali Alp, 2010. "The Effect of the Transparency Level of the ISE-Listed Banks on Liquidity," Istanbul Stock Exchange Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 12(45), pages 27-58.
    21. Gordon Tang, 1998. "Monthly Pattern and Portfolio Effect on Higher Moments of Stock Returns: Empirical Evidence from Hong Kong," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 5(3), pages 275-307, November.
    22. Matsumoto, Keishiro & Hoban Jr., James P., 1999. "Seasonality in the rates of return on Japanese ADRs," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 67-81, February.
    23. Magnus Dahlquist & Peter Sellin, 1996. "Stochastic dominance, tax-loss selling and seasonalities in Sweden," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-19.
    24. Hawawini, Gabriel & Banz, Rolf, 1987. "Equity pricing and stock market anomalies," MPRA Paper 44891, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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