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The Term Structure of Implicit Discount Rates in Security Valuation

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  • Neil Garrod
  • Aljosa Valentincic

Abstract

A reformulation of the residual income model is used to generate estimates of discount rates implicit in UK security prices. The terminal value of the infinite valuation model is incorporated into the coefficient on current earnings. By varying the length of the forecast horizon, different combinations of implicit discount rates are revealed that allow the estimation of time‐variant costs of equity. Results indicate no specific pattern of discount rates, thus revealing neither myopia on short‐term earnings nor excessive optimism on long(er)‐term earnings. Surprisingly, there is weak evidence that if any myopia exists, it is concentrated in larger and lower price‐earnings firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Neil Garrod & Aljosa Valentincic, 2005. "The Term Structure of Implicit Discount Rates in Security Valuation," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(7‐8), pages 1237-1274, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:32:y:2005:i:7-8:p:1237-1274
    DOI: 10.1111/j.0306-686X.2005.00628.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Duarte Atoche Teresa & Pérez López José Ángel & Camúñez Ruíz José Antonio, 2012. "Información sobre I+D y valoración de empresas," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 57(4), pages 107-136, octubre-d.
    2. Yun Shen & Andrew W. Stark, 2013. "Evaluating the effectiveness of model specifications and estimation approaches for empirical accounting-based valuation models," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(6), pages 660-682, December.
    3. Atoche, Teresa duarte & Pérez lópez, José ángel & Camúñez ruiz, Jose antonio, 2012. "La relevancia de los gastos de I+D. Estudio empírico en el sector del automóvil," Revista de Contabilidad - Spanish Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 257-286.

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