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An Examination of the Differential Impact of Regulation FD on Analysts' Forecast Accuracy

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  • Scott Findlay
  • Prem G. Mathew

Abstract

Regulation fair disclosure (FD) requires companies to publicly disseminate information, effectively preventing the selective pre‐earnings announcement guidance to analysts common in the past. We investigate the effects of Regulation FD's reducing information disparity across analysts on their forecast accuracy. Proxies for private information, including brokerage size and analyst company‐specific experience, lose their explanatory power for analysts' relative accuracy after Regulation FD. Analyst forecast accuracy declines overall, but analysts that are relatively less accurate (more accurate) before Regulation FD improve (deteriorate) after implementation. Our findings are consistent with selective guidance partially explaining variation in the forecasting accuracy of analysts before Regulation FD.

Suggested Citation

  • Scott Findlay & Prem G. Mathew, 2006. "An Examination of the Differential Impact of Regulation FD on Analysts' Forecast Accuracy," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 41(1), pages 9-31, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:41:y:2006:i:1:p:9-31
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6288.2006.00130.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Cowan, Arnold R. & Salotti, Valentina, 2020. "Anti-selective disclosure regulation and analyst forecast accuracy and usefulness," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Yi Dong & Nan Hu & Xu Li & Ling Liu, 2017. "Analyst Firm Coverage and Forecast Accuracy: The Effect of Regulation Fair Disclosure," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 53(4), pages 450-484, December.
    3. Mustafa Onur Caglayan & Umut Celiker & Edward R. Lawrence, 2021. "Sell‐side analyst recommendation revisions and hedge fund trading before and after regulation fair disclosure," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(3), pages 563-590, August.
    4. Premti, Arjan & Garcia-Feijoo, Luis & Madura, Jeff, 2017. "Information content of analyst recommendations in the banking industry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 35-47.
    5. Hueiling Chen & Cheng-Tsu Huang & Hsiou-Wei W. Lin, 2016. "Changes in analyst following for less covered firms accompanying Regulation Fair Disclosure: the roles of ability and industry experience," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 519-541, April.
    6. Dror Parnes, 2010. "The information content of analysts reports and bankruptcy risk measures," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(19), pages 1499-1513.
    7. Edward Lawrence & Gordon Karels & Arun Prakash & Siddharth Shankar, 2011. "Effect of regulation FD on disclosures of information by firms," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(13), pages 979-996.
    8. Hess, Dieter E. & Kreutzmann, Daniel & Pucker, Oliver, 2010. "Projected earnings accuracy and the profitability of stock recommendations," CFR Working Papers 10-17, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    9. Prem G. Mathew & H. Semih Yildirim, 2015. "Does director affiliation lead to analyst bias?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 272-287, January.
    10. Ryan Flugum, 2021. "The trend is an analyst's friend: Analyst recommendations and market technicals," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 301-330, May.
    11. Li, Hui & Liu, Hong & Siganos, Antonios, 2016. "A comparison of the stock market reactions of convertible bond offerings between financial and non-financial institutions: Do they differ?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 356-366.
    12. Lo, May H. & Xu, Le (Emily), 2013. "Regulation FD and analysts’ vs. investors’ weightings of the cash components of earnings," Research in Accounting Regulation, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 169-184.

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