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Permanent and Transitory Driving Forces in the Asian‐Pacific Stock Markets

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  • Ali F. Darrat
  • Maosen Zhong

Abstract

This paper uses weekly data from November 1987 through May 1999 to examine whether U.S. or the Japan stock market (or both) is the main driving force behind major movements in eleven emerging Asian‐Pacific stock markets. We find a robust cointegrating relation linking each of the emerging market with the two matured markets of the U.S. and Japan. The results also show that the U.S., rather than Japan, is the main permanent force driving the equilibrium relations across all Asian‐Pacific markets. In contrast, the effect of the Japanese market on the Asian‐Pacific region is only transitory. Therefore, strategic asset portfolios in the Asian‐Pacific region should include Japanese stocks to diversify any country specific risks. As to U.S. investors, the persistent influence of the U.S. market may limit long‐run diversification gains from Asian‐Pacific stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali F. Darrat & Maosen Zhong, 2002. "Permanent and Transitory Driving Forces in the Asian‐Pacific Stock Markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 37(1), pages 35-51, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:37:y:2002:i:1:p:35-51
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6288.00003
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    Cited by:

    1. Taher, Sumaiyah & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Which market is the driver of the Asian stock markets ?," MPRA Paper 107975, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Maosen Zhong & Hui Yang, 2005. "Risk Exposures and International Diversification: Evidence from iShares," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3-4), pages 737-772.
    3. Ijaz Younis & Cheng Longsheng & Muhammad Farhan Basheer & Ahmed Shafique Joyo, 2020. "Stock market comovements among Asian emerging economies: A wavelet-based approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-23, October.
    4. Saif Siddiqui, 2009. "Stock Markets Integration: Examining Linkages between Selected World Markets," Vision, , vol. 13(1), pages 19-30, January.
    5. Ali Darrat & Fatima Al-Shamsi, 2005. "On the path of integration in the Gulf region," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 1055-1062.
    6. Darrat, Ali F. & Zhong, Maosen, 2005. "Equity market linkage and multinational trade accords: The case of NAFTA," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 793-817, September.
    7. Yunus, Nafeesa, 2023. "Long-run and short-run impact of the U.S. economy on stock, bond and housing markets: An evaluation of U.S. and six major economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 211-232.
    8. Omura, Akihiro & Todorova, Neda & Li, Bin & Chung, Richard, 2016. "Steel scrap and equity market in Japan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 115-124.
    9. Lei Wu & Qingbin Meng & Kuan Xu, 2015. "'Slow-burn' spillover and 'fast and furious' contagion: a study of international stock markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 933-958, June.
    10. Manu K. S. & Surekha Nayak & Rameesha Kalra, 2022. "Through the Lens of Recession 2.0: Diversification Dynamics Between the Leading Asian Stock Markets," Vision, , vol. 26(2), pages 181-192, June.
    11. Maosen Zhong & Hui Yang, 2005. "Risk Exposures and International Diversification: Evidence from iShares," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3‐4), pages 737-772, April.
    12. Sudha Narayanan & Sowmya Dhanaraj & Arun Kumar Gopalaswamy & M. Suresh Babu, "undated". "Trade, Financial Flows and Stock Market Interdependence: Evidence from Asian Markets," Working Papers 2017-158, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    13. Chee Seng Cheong & Patrick J. Wilson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2009. "An analysis of the long‐run impact of fixed income and equity market performance on Australian and UK securitised property markets," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(3), pages 259-276, April.
    14. Guoxiang Xu & Wangfeng Gao, 2019. "Financial Risk Contagion in Stock Markets: Causality and Measurement Aspects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-20, March.
    15. Majeed, Ayesha & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "A study of long- run theoretical relationship between ASEAN stock market indices and developed stock market indices of US and Japan," MPRA Paper 79724, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Yang, Jian & Kolari, James W. & Sutanto, Peter Wibawa, 2004. "On the stability of long-run relationships between emerging and US stock markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 233-248, July.
    17. Ajaya Kumar Panda & Swagatika Nanda, 2018. "A GARCH Modelling of Volatility and M-GARCH Approach of Stock Market Linkages of North America," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(6), pages 1538-1553, December.
    18. Sowmya Dhanaraj & Arun Kumar Gopalaswamy & Suresh Babu M, 2013. "Dynamic interdependence between US and Asian markets: an empirical study," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 220-237, April.
    19. Click, Reid W. & Plummer, Michael G., 2005. "Stock market integration in ASEAN after the Asian financial crisis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 5-28, February.
    20. Iqbal, Javed, 2008. "Stock Market in Pakistan: An Overview," MPRA Paper 11868, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Andrés Rivas & Rahul Verma & Antonio Rodriguez & Pedro H. Albuquerque, 2005. "Do European Stock Markets Affect Latin American Stock Markets?," Finance 0512017, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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