The Term Structure of Interest Rates in the UK
AbstractThis paper presents new tests of the efficient markets view of the interest rate term structure utilizing recently developed cointegration methodology in a bivariate autoregressive system consisting of the "spread" between long and short interest rates and the change in the Treasury Bill rate. The efficient markets restrictions on the bivariate autoregressive system are supported by U.K. data from 1963:1 to 1987:1. Further support is obtained from som e simple Granger-causality tests. However, volatility statistics give rather mixed results. On balance, the authors' findings suggest a risk-adjusted expectations approach to the term structure. Copyright 1988 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd and the Board of Trustees of the Bulletin of Economic Research
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Wiley Blackwell in its journal Bulletin of Economic Research.
Volume (Year): 40 (1988)
Issue (Month): 4 (October)
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- Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2011.
"The term structure of interest rates, the expectations hypothesis and international financial integration: Evidence from Asian economies,"
International Review of Economics & Finance,
Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 679-689, October.
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- Shen Chung-Hua, 1998. "The Term Structure of Taiwan Money Market Rates And Rational Expectation," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 105-119.
- Magdalena Massot Perelló & Juan M. Nave Pineda, 2003. "La hipótesis de las expectativas en el largo plazo: evidencia en el mercado español de deuda pública," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 27(3), pages 533-564, September.
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