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Is public investment complementary to private investment in Indian agriculture? Evidence from NARDL approach

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  • Nusrat Akber
  • Kirtti Ranjan Paltasingh

Abstract

The issue of complementarity between public farm investment and private farm investment in Indian agriculture is an unsettled empirical question in the literature, which has not been studied adequately. Few studies analyzing the trends of both types of investments have produced contradictory results. Thus, this study attempts to bridge that gap, by examining the hypothesis of crowding‐in/crowding‐out effect of public sector investment on private investment. Time series data for a period of 45 years from 1971 to 2015 has been used. Adopting a ‘nonlinear auto‐regressive distributive lag’ (NARDL) model the study confirms a strong crowding‐in effect of public investment on private investment in short run, but relatively a weak complementarity between the two over long‐run. Moreover, the public canal intensity as a major component of public investment has been observed to have much stronger effect on private investment than the public investment itself. It is also found that private investment is constrained by its own lagged values, institutional credit and terms of trade during both short‐run and long‐run. The policy suggestion of this study calls for an immediate arrest of declining trend of public investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Nusrat Akber & Kirtti Ranjan Paltasingh, 2019. "Is public investment complementary to private investment in Indian agriculture? Evidence from NARDL approach," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(5), pages 643-655, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:50:y:2019:i:5:p:643-655
    DOI: 10.1111/agec.12515
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    Cited by:

    1. IKM Mokhtarul Wadud & Omar H. M. N. Bashar & Huson Joher Ali Ahmed & William Dimovski, 2022. "Property price dynamics and asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty: New evidence from the Australian capital cities," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(4), pages 4359-4380, December.
    2. Ma, Meilin, 2023. "Interdependent investments in attached and movable assets under insecure land rights," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. William Djamfa Mbiakop & Hlalefang Khobai & Djomo Choumbou Raoul Fani, 2023. "Response of Agriculture Production to Change of Foreign Direct Investment and Public Agriculture Expenditure in South Africa: A Monte Carlo Simulation Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 1-7, November.
    4. Jun Wen & Samia Khalid & Hamid Mahmood & Xiuyun Yang, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and growth nexus in Pakistan: a new evidence using NARDL model," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1701-1715, August.
    5. Nusrat Akber & Megha Gupta & Kirtti Ranjan Paltasingh, 2020. "The Crowding-in/ out Debate in Investments in India: Fresh Evidence from NARDL Application," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(2), pages 167-189, December.
    6. Sedithippa J. Balaji & Munisamy Gopinath, 2023. "Spatial growth and convergence in Indian agriculture," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(6), pages 761-777, November.
    7. Akber, Nusrat & Paltasingh, Kirtti Ranjan & Mishra, Ashok K., 2022. "How can public policy encourage private investments in Indian agriculture? Input subsidies vs. public investment," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    8. Shadman Zafar & Mohammad Aarif & Md. Tarique, 2023. "Input subsidies, public investments and agricultural productivity in India," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Kumar, Alok, 2023. "Financial market imperfections, informality and government spending multipliers," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).

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