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Optimal Future for the Irrigation Agriculture Under Climate Change in the Fergana Valley,Central Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandra Nikanorova

    (Diplomatic Academy of Ministry for foreign affairs, Russia)

  • Nikolai Dronin

    (Head of laboratory, Soviet environmental policy, Russia)

Abstract

The changes in irrigational water deficit in the Fergana Valley, Central Asia were evaluated based on different scenarios of climate changes well as land & water management. The Fergana Valley is located within the Syr Darya River basin and shared by three countries: Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. The main driver of the Valley economy has been cotton farming, which consumes large amount of water. The current volatile state of irrigational agricultures caused by restricted transboundary water flow in the cotton-growing season from upstream Kyrgyzstan. In the Fergana Valley local farmers can’t afford modern management of their land and water resources which become overexploited and polluted. Apart from the current shortages, climate change may alter projected water demand increases within the Valley. Two climatic and land & water use scenarios were combined in the water deficit models for three time periods: the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandra Nikanorova & Nikolai Dronin, 2017. "Optimal Future for the Irrigation Agriculture Under Climate Change in the Fergana Valley,Central Asia," International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 3(2), pages 28-35, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:adp:ijesnr:v:3:y:2017:i:2:p:28-35
    DOI: 10.19080/IJESNR.2017.03.555607
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Karimov, A. & Smakhtin, V. & Mavlonov, A. & Borisov, V. & Gracheva, I. & Miryusupov, F. & Djumanov, J. & Khamzina, T. & Ibragimov, R. & Abdurahmanov, B., 2013. "Managed aquifer recharge: the solution for water shortages in the Fergana Valley," IWMI Research Reports H046061, International Water Management Institute.
    2. Karimov, A. & Smakhtin, V. & Mavlonov, A. & Gracheva, I., 2010. "Water 'banking' in Fergana valley aquifers--A solution to water allocation in the Syrdarya river basin?," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(10), pages 1461-1468, October.
    3. Murray-Rust, Hammond & Abdullaev, Iskandar & Ul Hassan, Mehmood & Horinkova, Vilma, 2003. "Water productivity in the Syr-Darya River Basin," IWMI Research Reports 61097, International Water Management Institute.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    earth and environment journals; environment journals; open access environment journals; peer reviewed environmental journals; open access; juniper publishers; ournal of Environmental Sciences; juniper publishers journals ; juniper publishers reivew;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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