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Threshold Autoregressive Model of Exchange Rate Pass through Effect: The Case of Croatia

Author

Listed:
  • Petra Posedel

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

  • Josip Tica

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

Abstract

In this paper exchange rate pass-through effect in Croatia is estimated with nonlinear (asymmetric) threshold autoregressive model (TAR). In total 12285 regressions is estimated and a strong case of nonlinearity with single threshold is proven. According to our estimation there is a threshold at 2.69% of monthly change of nominal exchange rate of German mark (Euro) and the way in which nominal exchange rate affects inflation is asymmetric around it. Below the threshold, effect of change in nominal exchange rate on inflation is statistically insignificant and above the threshold the effect is strong and significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Petra Posedel & Josip Tica, 2007. "Threshold Autoregressive Model of Exchange Rate Pass through Effect: The Case of Croatia," EFZG Working Papers Series 0715, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    • Handle: RePEc:zag:wpaper:0715
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    File URL: http://web.efzg.hr/repec/pdf/Clanak%2007-15.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2007
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Przystupa, Jan & Wróbel, Ewa, 2009. "Asymmetry of the exchange rate pass-through: An exercise on the Polish data," MPRA Paper 17660, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Lin, Po-Chun & Wu, Chung-Shu, 2012. "Exchange rate pass-through in deflation: The case of Taiwan," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 101-111.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    threshold autoregressive model; pass-through effect; exchange rate; inflation; nonlinear econometrics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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