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Strukturelle ökonometrische Verfahren zur Analyse von Renteneintrittsentscheidungen

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Author Info
Winter, Joachim () (Mannheim Research Institute for the Economics of Aging (MEA))

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Abstract

Die umlagefinanzierte deutsche Rentenversicherung steht am Ausgang des 20. Jahrhunderts vor großen Problemen, die im wesentlichen aus der fortschreitenden Alterung der Bevölkerung resultieren: Immer weniger Erwerbstätige müssen immer mehr Rentner finanzieren. Eine fundierte Abschätzung der Auswirkungen verschiedener Reformvorschläge erfordert ein genaues Verständnis der Anreizwirkungen, die von den institutionellen Gegebenheiten eines Rentensystems auf die individuellen Renteneintrittsentscheidungen ausgehen. In diesem Beitrag stelle ich eine Reihe von ökonometrischen Verfahren vor, die zur Untersuchung von Renteneintrittsentscheidungen angewendet werden können. Der Schwerpunkt liegt auf der ¹ aus methodischen Gründen zu bevorzugenden ¹ strukturellen Schätzung von intertemporalen Optimierungsmodellen.

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Paper provided by Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim in its series Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications with number 99-03.

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Length: 16 pages
Date of creation: 18 Jan 1999
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Handle: RePEc:xrs:sfbmaa:99-03

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  7. Robin L. Lumsdaine & James H. Stock & David A. Wise, 1992. "Three Models of Retirement: Computational Complexity versus Predictive Validity," NBER Chapters, in: Topics in the Economics of Aging, pages 21-60 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Gustman, Alan L & Steinmeier, Thomas L, 1986. "A Structural Retirement Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(3), pages 555-84, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Börsch-Supan, Axel, 1998. "Incentive Effects of Social Security on Labor Force Participation: Evidence in Germany and Across Europe," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 98-29, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
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  14. Axel Borsch-Supan, 1998. "Incentive Effects of Social Security on Labor Force Participation: Evidence in Germany and Across Europe," NBER Working Papers 6780, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Winter, Joachim, 1997. "Ökonometrische Analyse diskreter dynamischer Entscheidungsprozesse," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 99-27, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Arnds, Pascal & Bonin, Holger, 2002. "Frühverrentung in Deutschland: Ökonomische Anreize und institutionelle Strukturen," IZA Discussion Papers 666, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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