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Inflation and Growth in the Long Run: A New Keynesian Theory and Further Semiparametric Evidence

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  • Andrea Vaona

    ()
    (Department of Economics (University of Verona))

Abstract

This paper explores the influence of inflation on economic growth both theoretically and empirically. We propose to merge an endogenous growth model of learning by doing with a New Keynesian one with sticky wages. We show that the intertemporal elasticity of substitution of working time is a key parameter for the shape of the inflation-growth nexus. When it is set equal to zero, the inflation-growth nexus is weak and hump-shaped. When it is greater than zero, inflation has a sizeable and negative effect on growth. Endogenizing the length of wage contracts does not lead to inflation superneutrality in presence of a fixed cost to wage resetting. Once adopting various semiparametric and instrumental variable estimation approaches on a cross-country/time-series dataset, we show that increasing inflation reduces real economic growth, consistently with our theoretical model with a positive intertemporal elasticity of substitution of working time.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Verona, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 09/2010.

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Length: 67
Date of creation: May 2010
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Macroeconomic Dynamics
Handle: RePEc:ver:wpaper:09/2010

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Keywords: inflation; growth; wage-staggering; learning-by-doing; semi- parametric estimator;

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Cited by:
  1. Stefan Reitz & Ulf. D. Slopek, 2012. "Fixing the Phillips Curve: The Case of Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in the US," Kiel Working Papers 1795, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  2. Olmos, Lorena & Sanso Frago, Marcos, 2014. "Monetary policy and growth with trend inflation and financial frictions," MPRA Paper 54606, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Andrea Vaona, 2010. "Money illusion and the long-run Phillips curve in staggered wage-setting models," Working Papers, University of Verona, Department of Economics 14/2010, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
  4. Guido Ascari & Argia M. Sbordone, 2013. "The macroeconomics of trend inflation," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York 628, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  5. Chien-Yu Huang & Juin-Jen Chang & Lei Ji, 2013. "Cash-In-Advance Constraint on R&D in a Schumpeterian Growth Model with an Endogenous Market Structure," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 13-A009, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
  6. Annicchiarico, Barbara & Pelloni, Alessandra & Rossi, Lorenza, 2011. "Endogenous growth, monetary shocks and nominal rigidities," Economics Letters, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 113(2), pages 103-107.
  7. Annicchiarico, Barbara & Rossi, Lorenza, 2013. "Optimal monetary policy in a New Keynesian model with endogenous growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 274-285.
  8. Andrea Vaona, 2013. "Inflation gifts and endogenous growth through learning-by-doing," Working Papers, University of Verona, Department of Economics 09/2013, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
  9. Chu, Angus C. & Cozzi, Guido & Lai, Ching-Chong & Liao, Chih-Hsing, 2013. "Monetary Policy, R&D and Economic Growth in an Open Economy," Economics Working Paper Series 1315, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  10. Rudra P. PRADHAN & Mak B. ARVIN & Bele SAMADHAN & Shilpa TANEJA, 2013. "The Impact of Stock Market Development on Inflation and Economic Growth of 16 Asian Countries: A Panel VAR Approach," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 203-218.
  11. Chu, Angus C. & Cozzi, Guido & Furukawa, Yuichi, 2013. "Inflation, Unemployment and Economic Growth in a Schumpeterian Economy," Economics Working Paper Series 1323, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  12. Kremer, Stephanie & Bick, Alexander & Nautz, Dieter, 2009. "Inflation and growth: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis," Discussion Papers 2009/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
  13. Angus C. Chu & Ching-Chong Lai & Chih-Hsing Liao, 2010. "A Tale of Two Growth Engines: The Interactive Effects of Monetary Policy and Intellectual Property Rights," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 10-A006, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.

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