Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in the US: Positive vs. negative or big vs. small?
AbstractThis paper reconsiders the empirical evidence on the asymmetric output effects of monetary policy. Asymmetric effects is a common feature of many theoretical models, and there are many different versions of such asymmetries. We concentrate on the distinctions between positive and negative money-supply changes, big and small changes in money-supply, and possible combinations of the two asymmetries. Earlier research has found empirical evidence in favor of the former of these in US data. Using M1 as the monetary variable we find evidence in favor of neutrality of big shocks and non-neutrality of small shocks. The results may, however, be affected by structual instability of M1 demand. Thus, we substitute M1 with the federal funds rate. In these data we find that only small negative shocks affect real aggregate activity. The results are interpreted in terms of menu-cost models.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra in its series Economics Working Papers with number 247.
Date of creation: Oct 1997
Date of revision: Dec 1997
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Monetary policy; asymmetric effects; menu costs;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
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