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Estimating the Demand for Energy in Jordan: A Stock-Watson Dynamic OLS (DOLS) Approach

Author

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  • Ahmed Al-Azzam

    (Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics, University of Surrey)

  • David Hawdon

    (Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), University of Surrey)

Abstract

Recent developments in econometrics provide robust estimators for cointegrated series where sample sizes are small. We estimate the demand for energy in Jordan over the period 1968-1997 using the dynamic OLS method developed by Stock and Watson, and compare the results with conventional forms of cointegration and error correction estimation. Results are found to be robust to various departures from standard regression assumptions and to be stable of the rapid structural changes in the Jordanian economy over the period of the study. Income, construction activity, and political instability are found to impact significantly on consumption, while real price has only a neutral or weak effect. Changes to energy prices on their own are unlikely to achieve current goals for energy conversation.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmed Al-Azzam & David Hawdon, 1999. "Estimating the Demand for Energy in Jordan: A Stock-Watson Dynamic OLS (DOLS) Approach," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 97, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    • Handle: RePEc:sur:seedps:97
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    Cited by:

    1. Yılmaz, Engin & Süslü, Bora, 2015. "The Calculation of Weighted Price Elasticity of Tax: Turkey (1998-2013)," MPRA Paper 64417, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Apr 2015.
    2. Saten Kumar, 2011. "Cointegration and the demand for energy in Fiji," International Journal of Global Energy Issues, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 35(1), pages 85-97.
    3. Iwayemi, Akin & Adenikinju, Adeola & Babatunde, M. Adetunji, 2010. "Estimating petroleum products demand elasticities in Nigeria: A multivariate cointegration approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 73-85, January.
    4. Kathia Pinz'on, 2016. "Analysis of Price and Income Elasticities of Energy Demand in Ecuador: A Dynamic OLS Approach," Papers 1611.05288, arXiv.org.
    5. Aisha Kolawole & Sola Adesola & Glauco De Vita, 2017. "A Disaggregated Analysis of Energy Demand in Sub-Saharan Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 224-235.
    6. Faisal Sultan Qadri & Abdul Waheed, 2020. "The Contribution of Human Capital in Aggregate and Sectoral Production: Evidence from Pakistan," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 21(2), pages 365-376, April.
    7. Koçak Emrah & Uzay Nısfet, 2019. "The effect of financial development on income inequality in Turkey: An estimate of the Greenwood-Jovanovic hypothesis," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 19(4), pages 319-344, December.
    8. Azlina Abd. Aziz & Nik Hashim Nik Mustapha & Roslina Ismail, 2013. "Factors Affecting Energy Demand in Developing Countries: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(Special), pages 1-6.
    9. DRAMA Bedi Guy Herve, 2018. "Empirical Analysis and Forecast of Electricity Demand in West African Economic and Monetary Zone: Evidence from Panel ADRL Modelling," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(3), pages 257-273, September.
    10. Wan-Jiun Chen, 2022. "Toward Sustainability: Dynamics of Total Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Aggregate Income, Non-Renewable Energy, and Renewable Power," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-27, February.
    11. Edeh, Jude Ndubuisi & Obodoechi, Divine Ndubuisi & Ramos-Hidalgo, Encarnación, 2020. "Effects of innovation strategies on export performance: New empirical evidence from developing market firms," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    12. Sallahuddin Hassan, 2018. "Long Run Energy Demand and Its Determinants: A Panel Cointegration Analysis of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations-5," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 270-279.

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