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Variety of Opinion and the Speculative Demand for Money: An Analysis in Terms of Fuzzy Concepts

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Author Info
Sheila C. Dow (Department of Economics, University of Stirling, Scotland)
Dipak Ghosh (Department of Economics, University of Stirling, Scotland)

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Abstract

The purpose of the paper is to explore the potential for applying fuzzy logic to economic decision-making under Keynesian uncertainty, and in particular to circumstances where variety of opinion is important. Fuzzy logic is shown to apply where expectations may differ because the nature of the subject matter impedes any ‘crisp’ way of describing the underlying variables. The particular case of the speculative demand for money is considered, since it explicitly reflects variety of opinion as to whether interest rates are ‘high’ or ‘low’. We also explore the potential application of the concept to monetary policy-making.

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File URL: http://www.sceme.org.uk/wps/SCEME007_DowGosh_FuzMonDemand_2004.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by SCEME in its series SCEME Working Papers: Advances in Economic Methodology with number 007/2004.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:sti:wpaper:007/2004

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Related research
Keywords: speculative-demand-for-money; fuzzy-concepts; uncertainty;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
B4 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology
B5 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches
E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. James Tobin, 1956. "Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 14, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Davis, John B, 1999. "Common Sense: A Middle Way between Formalism and Post-Structuralism?," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 503-15, July.
  3. Jochen Runde, 2002. "Filling in the Background," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 11-30, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Basu, Kaushik, 1984. "Fuzzy revealed preference theory," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 212-227, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Sheila C. Dow, 2004. "Uncertainty and monetary policy," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 56(3), pages 539-561, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Fontana, Giuseppe & Gerrard, Bill, 2004. "A Post Keynesian theory of decision making under uncertainty," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 619-637, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Brian Weatherson, 2002. "Keynes, uncertainty and interest rates," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 47-62, January.
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