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Does Real Exchange Rate Volatility Affect Sectoral Trade Flows?

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Author Info
Mustafa Caglayan ()
Jing Di (Department of Economics, The University of Sheffield)

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Abstract

This paper investigates empirically the effect of real exchange rate volatility on sectoral bilateral trade flows between the US and her top thirteen trading countries. Our investigation also considers those effects on trade flows which may arise through changes in income volatility and the interaction between income and exchange rate volatilities. We provide evidence that exchange rate volatility mainly affects sectoral trade flows of developing but not that of developed countries. We also find that the effect of the interaction term on trade flows is opposite that of exchange rate volatility yet there is little impact arising from income volatility.

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File URL: http://www.shef.ac.uk/content/1/c6/08/83/15/Shef_WP_2008011.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version, 2008
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 2008011.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2008
Date of revision: Sep 2008
Handle: RePEc:shf:wpaper:2008011

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Related research
Keywords: exchange rates; volatility; trade flows.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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Cited by:
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  1. Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan, 2008. "The Volatility of International Trade Flows and Exchange Rate Uncertainty," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 695, Boston College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-29.


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