This file is part of IDEAS, which uses RePEc data


[ Papers | Articles | Software | Books | Chapters | Authors | Institutions | JEL Classification | NEP reports | Search | New papers by email | Author registration | Rankings | Volunteers | FAQ | Blog | Help! ]

Forecasting Fundamental Asset Return Distributions and Tests for Excess Volatility and Bubbles

Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics
Author Info
Donaldson, R.G.
Kamstra, M.

Additional information is available for the following registered author(s):

Abstract

This paper develops an augmented Artificial Neural Network forecast-simulation procedure for estimating both the current fundamental price of a financial asset and the state-dependent distribution (including volatilities) from which future returns will be fundamentally drawn. The results provide an improved method for valuing assets, such as stocks and stock options,and suggest new applications of tests for excess volatility and bubbles in asset prices.

Download Info
To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University in its series Discussion Papers with number dp96-02.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: 1996
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:sfu:sfudps:dp96-02

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, BC, V5A 1S6, Canada
Phone: (778)782-3508
Fax: (778)782-5944
Web page: http://www.econ.sfu.ca/
More information through EDIRC

Order Information:
Postal: Working Paper Coordinator, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, BC, V5A 1S6, Canada
Email:
Web: http://www.econ.sfu.ca/Research_and_Seminars/Publications/index.html

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Working Paper Coordinator).

Related research
Keywords: TESTS; FINANCIAL MARKET; STOCK MARKET; SHARES;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
N22 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Lucy Ackert & William Hunter, 2001. "An Empirical Examination of the Price-Dividend Relation with Dividend Management," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 115-129, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
Statistics
Access and download statistics

Did you know? You can import bibliographic info in various formats into you bibliographic tool, or just into your word processor. See under "publisher info" on each abstract page.

This page was last updated on 2009-12-15.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.