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Testing Wagner's Law for The Gambia, 1977-2013

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  • Jobarteh, Mustapha

Abstract

Wagner’s law relates the positive nexus between public spending and economic activity, where greater economic activity leads to increased public spending. This paper examines the validity of this hypothesis for The Gambia for the period 1977-2013. Using econometric techniques of ARDL bounds test, Johansen and Juselius (1990) multivariate cointegration test, Granger causality and Toda and Yamamota (1995) Granger non-causality tests, the findings show validity for Wagner’s law for The Gambia. Therefore, the government of the Gambia should channel it’s expenditures toward the productive sectors of economy so as to promote economic growth in the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Jobarteh, Mustapha, 2017. "Testing Wagner's Law for The Gambia, 1977-2013," MPRA Paper 76303, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:76303
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Durevall, Dick & Henrekson, Magnus, 2011. "The futile quest for a grand explanation of long-run government expenditure," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(7-8), pages 708-722, August.
    2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    3. Michas, Nicholas A, 1975. "Wagner's Law of Public Expenditures: What Is the Appropriate Measurement for a Valid Test?," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 30(1), pages 77-85.
    4. Halicioglu Ferda, 2003. "Testing Wagner's Law for Turkey, 1960-2000," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 1(2), pages 31-42, August.
    5. Kojo Menyah & Yemane Wolde-Rufael, 2013. "Government expenditure and economic growth: the ethiopian experience, 1950–2007," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 47(1), pages 263-280, January-J.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Wagner’s law; Bounds test; The Gambia; Granger causality.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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