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Theory and practice of falsified elections

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  • Kapustenko, Oleg
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    Abstract

    An analysis of falsified election results is presented. A model of the falsification process is proposed and simulations are performed. The model fits well the data of the parliamentary elections in Russia on December 4, 2011. It is shown that the "noise" of false votes is well separated from the fair “signal”, which can be extracted with high statistical accuracy (less than l%) allowing quantitative reconstruction of the falsification patterns.

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    File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/35543/
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 35543.

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    Date of creation: 23 Dec 2011
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    Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:35543

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    Keywords: election; ballot stuffing; statistical analysis;

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