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Parametrii macroeconomici în derivă
[Economic Parameters Turn Adrift]

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Author Info

  • Georgescu, George

Abstract

The paper updates a warning launched by the author a year earlier regarding the effects of Inward/Outward Processing Trade flows, already entered a marginal decrease path. The high volatility of these flows, totally escaping the perception of decision makers, is threatening Romania’s appropriate management of the financial framework sustainability on medium and long term. In the first half of 2005, the economic parameters deteriorated in real terms more than shows the official data, as concerns net exports contribution to GDP, trade and current account balance, leading to the increase in external debt, which are endangering also the country risk rating, implicitly the costs of external borrowing in order to cover the rising financial gap.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/26319/
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 26319.

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Date of creation: 10 Oct 2005
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:26319

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Related research

Keywords: Inward Processing Trade; Balance of Payments; Current Account; External debt; Economic Growth; Country Risk;

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References

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  1. Georgescu, George, 2003. "Inward Processing Trade and the Romanian foreign trade," MPRA Paper 42063, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Georgescu, George, 2004. "Marele pericol care planează asupra economiei
    [The Danger which Hangs Over the Romanian Economy]
    ," MPRA Paper 23795, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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