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Пространственные Факторы Непреднамеренных Падений В Зимний Период
[Spatial factors of winter-related unintentional falls]

Author

Listed:
  • Timiryanova, Venera
  • Mchedlishvili, Aleksander
  • Lakman, Irina
  • Bakhitova, Railya
  • Abzalilova, Liya
  • Devyatkova, Galina

Abstract

Falls are a serious problem in northern countries during winter. The purpose of the study is to model the number of falls in the urban environment in winter. Particular attention is paid to patterns of fall concentration in various types of urban environments. The analysis was carried out on weekly data on the number of falls in Perm for 4 winters 2015-2019 in the context of 82 districts. The share of special zones (industrial, college campuses, hospitals etc.), the share of low-rise buildings, the number of retail outlets, the number of food facilities were taken into account as factors influencing injuries. The analysis showed a significant impact on reducing the number of drops in the share of territories occupied by special zones and low-rise buildings. The growth in the number of retail facilities contributed to the increase in the number of falls. Given the above, urban settings should be considered for individual policy profiles to prevent outdoor falls.

Suggested Citation

  • Timiryanova, Venera & Mchedlishvili, Aleksander & Lakman, Irina & Bakhitova, Railya & Abzalilova, Liya & Devyatkova, Galina, 2023. "Пространственные Факторы Непреднамеренных Падений В Зимний Период [Spatial factors of winter-related unintentional falls]," MPRA Paper 119208, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:119208
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Giovanni Millo, 2022. "The generalized spatial random effects model in R," Journal of Spatial Econometrics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-18, December.
    2. Tatiana N. Unguryanu & Andrej M. Grjibovski & Tordis A. Trovik & Børge Ytterstad & Alexander V. Kudryavtsev, 2020. "Weather Conditions and Outdoor Fall Injuries in Northwestern Russia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-16, August.
    3. Élise Lépy & Sinikka Rantala & Antti Huusko & Pentti Nieminen & Marjo Hippi & Arja Rautio, 2016. "Role of Winter Weather Conditions and Slipperiness on Tourists’ Accidents in Finland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-15, August.
    4. Lee, Sungmin & Ye, Xinyue & Nam, Ji Won & Zhang, Kai, 2022. "The association between tree canopy cover over streets and elderly pedestrian falls: A health disparity study in urban areas," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    outdoor falls; location conditions; spatial panel model; injury forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • R52 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Land Use and Other Regulations

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