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LSTM based Anomaly Detection in Time Series for United States exports and imports

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  • Aggarwal, Sakshi

Abstract

This survey aims to offer a thorough and organized overview of research on anomaly detection, which is a significant problem that has been studied in various fields and application areas. Some anomaly detection techniques have been tailored for specific domains, while others are more general. Anomaly detection involves identifying unusual patterns or events in a dataset, which is important for a wide range of applications including fraud detection and medical diagnosis. Not much research on anomaly detection techniques has been conducted in the field of economic and international trade. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the time-series data of United Nations exports and imports for the period 1992 – 2022 using LSTM based anomaly detection algorithm. Deep learning, particularly LSTM networks, are becoming increasingly popular in anomaly detection tasks due to their ability to learn complex patterns in sequential data. This paper presents a detailed explanation of LSTM architecture, including the role of input, forget, and output gates in processing input vectors and hidden states at each timestep. The LSTM based anomaly detection approach yields promising results by modelling small-term as well as long-term temporal dependencies.

Suggested Citation

  • Aggarwal, Sakshi, 2023. "LSTM based Anomaly Detection in Time Series for United States exports and imports," MPRA Paper 117149, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:117149
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sakshi AGGARWAL, 2017. "Smile curve and its linkages with global value chains," Journal of Economics Bibliography, KSP Journals, vol. 4(3), pages 278-286, September.
    2. Aggarwal, Sakshi, 2017. "Smile Curve and its linkages with Global Value Chains," MPRA Paper 79324, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Aggarwal, Sakshi, 2017. "Sectoral Level Analysis of India’s Bilateral Trade over 2001-2015," MPRA Paper 80099, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Sakshi Aggarwal & Debashis Chakraborty, 2020. "Labour Market Adjustment and Intra-Industry Trade: Empirical Results from Indian Manufacturing Sectors," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 15(2), pages 238-269, August.
    5. Huan-Kai Peng & Radu Marculescu, 2015. "Multi-Scale Compositionality: Identifying the Compositional Structures of Social Dynamics Using Deep Learning," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(4), pages 1-28, April.
    6. Sakshi Aggarwal & Debashis Chakraborty & Nilanjan Banik, 2023. "Does Difference in Environmental Standard Influence India’s Bilateral IIT Flows? Evidence from GMM Results," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 22(1), pages 7-30, March.
    7. Ghoddusi, Hamed & Creamer, Germán G. & Rafizadeh, Nima, 2019. "Machine learning in energy economics and finance: A review," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 709-727.
    8. Sakshi Aggarwal & Debashis Chakraborty, 2020. "Is there any relationship between Marginal Intra-Industry Trade and Employment Change? Evidence from Indian Industries," Working Papers 2044, Indian Institute of Foreign Trade.
    9. Aggarwal, Sakshi, 2023. "Machine Learning algorithms, perspectives, and real-world application: Empirical evidence from United States trade data," MPRA Paper 116579, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Sakshi Aggarwal & Debashis Chakraborty, 2021. "Which Factors influence Vertical Intra-Industry Trade in India? Empirical Results from Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers 2154, Indian Institute of Foreign Trade.
    11. Munisamy Gopinath & Feras A. Batarseh & Jayson Beckman, 2020. "Machine Learning in Gravity Models: An Application to Agricultural Trade," NBER Working Papers 27151, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Anderson, James E, 1979. "A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(1), pages 106-116, March.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Sukhia, Jyoti, 2024. "India’s look east policy: Its evolution, challenges and prospects," MPRA Paper 120384, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Aggarwal, Sakshi, 2023. "Intra-industry trade: Revisiting theory and Literature Survey," MPRA Paper 117182, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Gupta, Ashish, 2024. "Impact of innovation on employment: A review of literature," MPRA Paper 120383, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Anomaly detection; LSTM; Machine learning; Artificial intelligence; economic trade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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