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Trends and Decomposition Growth Analysis of the Most Important Cereal Crops in Egypt

Author

Listed:
  • El-Rasoul, Ahmed Abou El-Yazid
  • Shehab, Sameh M. Hassan
  • Maghraby, Heba El-Sayed

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the growth performance of the most important cereal crops of Egypt agriculture (wheat, rice, and maize) and the sources of the production growth of these crops during the period 1975-2017. This analysis is to implement appropriate policies that would enhance the production increase of these crops using component analysis. Based on the results of the Chow Breakpoint test, the study was divided into three periods: 1975-1986, 1987-2000 and 2001-2017, in addition to the full period 1975-2017.The results showed that the growth of wheat, rice and maize production during the study periods depends on changes in yield more than changes in area. So, the study emphasizes that the vertical expansion has a greater impact than the horizontal expansion. This is reflecting the effect of scientific research and development (R&D) on increasing cereal crops in Egypt.

Suggested Citation

  • El-Rasoul, Ahmed Abou El-Yazid & Shehab, Sameh M. Hassan & Maghraby, Heba El-Sayed, 2020. "Trends and Decomposition Growth Analysis of the Most Important Cereal Crops in Egypt," MPRA Paper 100231, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2020.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:100231
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Compound growth rate; Decomposition analysis of growth; Effect of area and yield; Cereal crops trends in Egypt.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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