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Perú 1990-2020: Heterogeneidad estructural y regímenes económicos regionales. ¿Persiste la desconexión entre la economía, la demografía y la geografía?

Author

Listed:
  • Félix Jimenez

    (Departamento de Economía de la Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.)

  • Marco Arroyo

    (Departamento de Economía de la Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.)

Abstract

En este trabajo se analiza si en el periodo 1990-2020 —que incluye quince años de alto crecimiento económico impulsado por la inversión extranjera en la minería—, se registró un proceso de convergencia del producto per cápita de las veinticuatro regiones del país. En otras palabras, se busca responder si en un contexto caracterizado por la concentración espacial de la producción y de liderazgo en el crecimiento económico de la producción minera, se acentuaron o se atenuaron las disparidades existentes entre las regiones del país; si crecieron más rápido las regiones pobres que las regiones ricas; o, si hay clubes o regímenes económicos que convergen a su propio estado estacionario, confirmando así la fragmentación del país. El análisis se realiza utilizando, en primer lugar, la técnica de análisis exploratorio de datos espaciales (ESDA, por sus siglas en inglés), para identificar tanto a la dependencia como a la heterogeneidad espacial en los productos per cápita de las regiones del país; y, en segundo lugar, la técnica de datos de panel y el spatial switching regression approach, a las que se les introduce la interacción espacial tomando en cuenta algunas características propias de las regiones. JEL Classification-JE: C23. O18 · O47 · O54. R11 · R12. R58

Suggested Citation

  • Félix Jimenez & Marco Arroyo, 2022. "Perú 1990-2020: Heterogeneidad estructural y regímenes económicos regionales. ¿Persiste la desconexión entre la economía, la demografía y la geografía?," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-511, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    • Handle: RePEc:pcp:pucwps:wp00511
    DOI: 10.18800/2079-8474.0511
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    convergencia; dependencia espacial; modelos espaciales de datos de panel; concentración económica; heterogeneidad espacial; regímenes económicos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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