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Crecimiento y desindustrialización prematura en Perú. Un análisis Kaldoriano

Author

Listed:
  • Félix Jiménez

    (Departamento de Economía de la Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú)

Abstract

El objetivo de este estudio es mostrar si la industria manufacturera peruana mantiene su liderazgo en el proceso de crecimiento económico y en el aumento de la productividad del trabajo, después de veinticinco años de reformas y política neoliberales. El enfoque del trabajo es Kaldoriano-Keynesiano, según el cual el crecimiento económico está determinado fundamentalmente por factores de demanda. Se evalúan estadística y econométricamente las leyes de Kaldor, según las cuales el crecimiento de la manufactura impulsa el crecimiento del PBI, el crecimiento de la productividad laboral en la propia manufactura y en la economía en su conjunto. El período de análisis cubre 65 años de 1950 a 2015, que incorpora tanto el periodo de industrialización dirigida por el Estado como los veinticinco años de neoliberalismo también dirigido por el Estado. JEL Classification-JEL: E12, F63, L69, O11, O14, O15, O47, O54

Suggested Citation

  • Félix Jiménez, 2017. "Crecimiento y desindustrialización prematura en Perú. Un análisis Kaldoriano," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2017-441, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
  • Handle: RePEc:pcp:pucwps:wp00441
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    File URL: https://repositorio.pucp.edu.pe/index/handle/123456789/189162
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento económico ; Crecimiento liderado por la manufactura ; Desarrollo económico ; Leyes de Kaldor ; Productividad ; Rendimientos crecientes a escala en la manufactura;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • L69 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Other
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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