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Productivity and Machinery Investment: A Long Run Look 1870-1980

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J. Bradford De Long

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Abstract

Over the past century the long-run growth of six economies shows a strong association between investment in machinery and economic growth that holds both within and across nations and periods. A similar strong association holds for the post-world War II period for a broader cross section of nations. A number of considerations suggest that this association is causal, and that a high rate of machinery investment is a necessary prerequisite for rapid long-run productivity growth - a hypothesis also supported by narratives from the history of technology.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 3903.

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Date of creation: Nov 1991
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:3903

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  1. De Long, J Bradford, 1988. "Productivity Growth, Convergence, and Welfare: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(5), pages 1138-54, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. J. Bradford De Long & Barry Eichengreen, 1991. "The Marshall Plan: History's Most Successful Structural Adjustment Program," NBER Working Papers 3899, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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