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The Genesis of Inflation and the Costs of Disinflation

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Author Info
Laurence Ball

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Abstract

This essay asks how high inflation arises and why it is costly to eliminate. Specifically, the paper discusses the roles of price rigidity and credibility problems in explaining the costs of disinflation; the puzzle of persistent inflation triggered by onetime macroeconomic shocks; and the case for returning to adaptive expectations in theories of inflation.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 3621.

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Date of creation: Feb 1991
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:3621

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  1. Laurence Ball & Dean Croushore, 1998. "Expectations and the effects of monetary policy," Working Papers 98-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Richard Mash, 2000. "The Time Inconsistency of Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence," Economics Series Working Papers 015, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Richard Dennis, 2004. "New Keynesian models and their fit to the data," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jul 9. [Downloadable!]
  4. Arturo Estrella & Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2002. "Dynamic Inconsistencies: Counterfactual Implications of a Class of Rational-Expectations Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(4), pages 1013-1028, September. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Vuslat Us & Kývýlcým Metin Ozcan, 2003. "Optimal Univariate Expectations under High and Persistent Inflation : New Evidence From Turkey," Working Papers 2003/4, Turkish Economic Association. [Downloadable!]
  6. Juan Carlos Echeverry G., 1996. "The Rise And Perpetuation Of A Moderate Inflation, Colombia 1970-1991," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003621, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Carlos Esteban Posada P., 1998. "Dinero, Inflación Y Actividad Económica," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002364, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Gerberding, Christina, 2001. "The information content of survey data on expected price developments for monetary policy," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2001,09, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  9. Stephen Murchison & Andrew Rennison & Zhenhua Zhu, 2004. "A Structural Small Open-Economy Model for Canada," Working Papers 04-4, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  10. Carlos Humberto Cardona & Adriana Pontón & Eduardo Sarmiento, . "Evidencia sobre las Desinflaciones: Experiencia Internacional," Borradores de Economia 102, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  11. Rita De Siano & Marcella D'Uva & Giovanna Messina, 1999. "Aree Monetarie Ottimali: Literature Review," Working Papers 2_1999, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy. [Downloadable!]
  12. Alan S. Blinder, 2000. "Central-Bank Credibility: Why Do We Care? How Do We Build It?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1421-1431, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  13. Richard Dennis, 2004. "Specifying and estimating New Keynesian models with instrument rules and optimal monetary policies," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 2004-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
  14. Richard Mash, 2002. "Monetary Policy with an Endogenous Capital Stock when Inflation is Persistent," Economics Series Working Papers 108, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. António Portugal Duarte, 2005. "The Portuguese Disinflation Process: Analysis of Some Costs and Benefits," International Finance 0504005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  16. Laurence Ball, 2000. "Near-Rationality and Inflation in Two Monetary Regimes," NBER Working Papers 7988, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  17. Craig Ebert, 1994. "The yield curve as an indicator of monetary conditions," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 57, March. [Downloadable!]
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