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Inflation and Other Aggregate Determinants of the Trend in U.S. Divorce Rates since the 1960s

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Author Info
John M. Nunley

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Abstract

This paper extends empirical research on determinants of divorce in two ways. First, I examine the effect of inflation on divorce. Second, the use of a structural time-series modeling approach attributes unobservables and omitted variables to an unobserved component, which allows for the model’s parameters to be estimated consistently. Inflation is statistically significant, positive, and persistent. I show that the effects of inflation are robust to the inclusion of additional explanatory variables and various trend specifications. The long-run implications of inflation are also substantial. I conclude that price stability has the potential to reduce divorce rates.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance in its series Working Papers with number 200717.

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Date of creation: Sep 2007
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Handle: RePEc:mts:wpaper:200717

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Web page: http://www.mtsu.edu/~berc/working/Economics_Working_Papers.html
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Related research
Keywords: divorce; inflation; women’s educational attainment; economic growth; unemployment; structural time series; unobserved component models;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends and Forecasts
J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-23.


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