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Optimum Currency Areas in East Asia: A Structural VAR Approach

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Grace H.Y. Lee
M. Azali

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File URL: http://www.buseco.monash.edu.au/eco/research/papers/2009/1909optimumleeazali.pdf
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Paper provided by Monash University, Department of Economics in its series Monash Economics Working Papers with number 19/09.

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Length: 24pages
Date of creation: 04 Aug 2009
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Handle: RePEc:mos:moswps:2009-19

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Keywords: Optimum Currency Area; Monetary Union; Vector autoregression; Exchange rate; East Asia Abstract: This paper assesses the empirical desirability of the East Asian economies to an alternative exchange rate arrangement (a monetary union) that can potentially enhance the exchange rate stability and credibility in the region. Specifically; the symmetry in macroeconomic disturbances of the East Asian economies is examined as satisfying one of the preconditions for forming an Optimum Currency Area (OCA). The Structural Vector Autoregression (VAR) method is employed to assess the nature of macroeconomic disturbances among the East Asian countries; as a preliminary guide in identifying potential candidates for forming an OCA. The preliminary findings of this study suggest that there exists scope among some small sub-regions for potential monetary integration.;

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  1. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-73, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Junichi Goto & Koichi Hamada, 1994. "Economic Preconditions for Asian Regional Integration," NBER Chapters, in: Macroeconomic Linkage: Savings, Exchange Rates, and Capital Flows, NBER-EASE Volume 3, pages 359-388 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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