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Testing the Consumption-Capm in Developing Equity Markets

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Author Info
Cashin, P.
McDermott, C. J.

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Abstract

sta The Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model (C-CAPM) is tested using data on equity prices in Jordan, Turkey, and Pakistan over the period 1986-93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents' dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first estimated, and then the implied equity market price (based on the model) is compared with the actual evolution of equity prices. The empirical results support the proposistion that equity price movements in Jordan, Turkey, and Pakistan are not consistent with the C-CAPM. In each of these developing equity markets, the variability of equity price indices could not be accounted for by information regarding future dividends alone, and the failure to reject the null hypothesis of no cointegration of the implied and actual equity price series is due to parameter instability.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by The University of Melbourne in its series Department of Economics - Working Papers Series with number 593.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: 1997
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mlb:wpaper:593

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Postal: Department of Economics, The University of Melbourne, 5th Floor, Economics and Commerce Building, Victoria, 3010, Australia
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Related research
Keywords: ECONOMETRICS ; CONSUMPTION ; FINANCIAL MARKET;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

Cited by:
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  1. Magda Kandil & Ida Mirzaie, 2006. "Consumption and macroeconomic policies: Theory and evidence from developing countries," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 469-491, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Christopher J. Green & Victor Murinde, 2003. "Flow of funds: implications for research on financial sector development and the real economy," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(8), pages 1015-1036. [Downloadable!]
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