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On the fallacy of forward linkages: A note in the light of recent results

Author

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  • Louis de Mesnard

    (LEG - CNRS UMR 5118 - Université de Bourgogne)

Abstract

Following on from de Mesnard’s (2009) radical criticism of the Ghosh supply-driven model, this paper draws the dramatic consequences for the widespread use of forward linkages in input-output analysis applied to regional science: the practice must be abandoned. The arguments are based on three points: (i) it is impossible simultaneously to choose the Leontief model for the backward effects and the Ghosh model for the forward effects; (ii) it is impossible simultaneously to consider a production function of complementary inputs (Leontief) and a production function of perfectly substitutable inputs (Ghosh); and most importantly (iii) price effects and output effects remain inextricably mixed in the Ghosh model, so precluding its use for analyzing forward effects on quantities or prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Louis de Mesnard, 2009. "On the fallacy of forward linkages: A note in the light of recent results," LEG - Document de travail - Economie 2009-05, LEG, Laboratoire d'Economie et de Gestion, CNRS, Université de Bourgogne.
    • Handle: RePEc:lat:legeco:e2009-05
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Aaron Praktiknjo, 2016. "The Value of Lost Load for Sectoral Load Shedding Measures: The German Case with 51 Sectors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-17, February.
    2. Ana-Isabel Guerra & Ferran Sancho, 2011. "Revisiting The Original Ghosh Model: Can It Be More Plausible?," Working Papers 11.02, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
    3. Ana-Isabel Guerra & Ferran Sancho, 2010. "A Comparison Of Input-Output Models:Ghosh Reduces To Leontief (But 'Closing' Ghosh Makes It More Plausible)," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 823.10, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    4. Ana-Isabel Guerra & Ferran Sancho, 2011. "Revisiting The Original Ghosh Model: Can It Be Made More Plausible?," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 319-328, February.
    5. Ian P.Cassar, 2017. "Assessing structural change in the Maltese economy via the application of a hypothetical extraction analysis," CBM Working Papers WP/01/2017, Central Bank of Malta.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forward linkage; Backward linkage; Leontief; Ghosh; Supply-driven;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • D46 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Value Theory
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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