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Trade and Business Cycle Correlations in Asia-Pacific

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Author Info
Kumakura, Masanaga
Abstract

Recent empirical studies challenge the traditional theory of optimum currency areas by arguing that a monetary union enhances trade and business cycle co-movements among its member countries sufficiently as to obviate the need for national monetary policy. This paper examines the empirical relationship between trade and business cycle correlations among thirteen Asia-Pacific countries, paying particular attention to the structural characteristics of their economies and other issues not explored fully in the literature. According to our result, although trade is relevant to the business cycles of individual countries, the main determinant of their international correlations is not the geographical structure of their trade but what they produce and export --more specifically the extent to which their output and exports are concentrated on electronic products.

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File URL: http://ir.ide.go.jp/dspace/bitstream/2344/162/1/ARRIDE_Discussion_No.44_kumakura.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version, 2005
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO) in its series IDE Discussion Papers with number 44.

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Date of creation: Dec 2005
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Publication status: Published in IDE Discussion Paper. No. 44. 2005.12
Handle: RePEc:jet:dpaper:dpaper44

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Related research
Keywords: Business cycles; Optimum currency area; Trade; Electronics; Trade problem; Monetary policy; Asia; Oceania;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-8.


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