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Transition Probabilities To Employment And Non-Participation

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Author Info
Pablo Antolín (OCDE)

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Abstract

The analysis of the probability of leaving the unemployment pool is cornrnonly done without distinguishing the exit state. Al1 the people who exit unemployment do not do so into employment, instead some become inactive. In this paper 1 then distinguish and examine the trasition probabilities from unemployment to employment and non-participation. 1 find that the factors that affect the transition probabilities to each state are not necesarily the same, and their effects are different in direction andlor magnitude. El análisis de la probabilidad de salir del desempleo se hace normalmente sin distinguir el estado al cual se va. Todos los individuos que dejan el desempleo no pasan a ser empleados, sino que algunos pasan a la inactividad. En este trabajo distingo y examino las probabilidades de transición del desempleo a el empleo y a la inactividad. Se encuentra que los factores que afectan a las probabilidades de transición a cada uno de los estados no son necesariamente los mismos, y los efectos van en diferente dirección y/o son de diferente magnitud.

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File URL: http://www.ivie.es/downloads/docs/wpasec/wpasec-1995-20.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: Fisrt version / Primera version, 1995
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie) in its series Working Papers. Serie EC with number 1995-20.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: Jan 1995
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published by Ivie
Handle: RePEc:ivi:wpasec:1995-20

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Related research
Keywords: Análisis del desempleo; modelos de elección cualitativa. Unemployment analisis ; qualitative choice models;

Cited by:
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  1. Bell, Una Louise & Artola, Concha, 2001. "Identifying labour market dynamics using labour force survey data," ZEW Discussion Papers 01-44, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  2. Concha Artola & Una-Louise Bell, 2001. "Measuring Labour Market Dynamics: An Application To Spain," Departmental Working Papers 145, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
  3. Olympia Bover & Ramón Gómez, 2004. "Another look at unemployment duration: exit to a permanent vs. a temporary job," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 28(2), pages 285-314, May. [Downloadable!]
Statistics
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